Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sarıyer vs Vanspor FK

Sarıyer vs Vanspor FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-11-07 11:30
Sarıyer
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Vanspor FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
21%
X
28%
2
51%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sarıyer (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate42%

Vanspor FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sarıyer
WWLWD
Vanspor FK
LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

84% +0.5 63%
26% +1.5 32%
21% +2.5 26%
11% +3.5 11%
5% +4.5 5%
42% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sarıyer averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Vanspor FK averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
21%
Draw
28%
Away Win
51%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
40%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Sarıyer(A) 0 - 0 Vanspor FK Draw
Nov 2025 Sarıyer 2 - 1 Vanspor FK Home

In the last 2 meetings, Sarıyer won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Sarıyer — unbeaten run (home)4
Sarıyer — scoring streak (home)14
Vanspor FK — winless run (away)1
Vanspor FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sarıyer Win (1)21%
Draw (X)28%
Vanspor FK Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

84% +0.5 63%
26% +1.5 32%
21% +2.5 26%
11% +3.5 11%
5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

16% -0.5 37%
74% -1.5 68%
79% -2.5 74%
89% -3.5 89%
95% -4.5 95%

Sarıyer vs Vanspor FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sarıyer — scored (home)1.47
Sarıyer — conceded (home)0.84
Vanspor FK — scored (away)1.42
Vanspor FK — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes40%
No60%

Rate per Team

Sarıyer — BTTS matches (home)42%
Vanspor FK — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.532%
Under 8.568%
Over 9.524%
Under 9.576%
Over 10.519%
Under 10.581%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sarıyer (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.1

Vanspor FK (away)

Corners for2.9
Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sarıyer
5 7 6 11 6
Vanspor FK
12 8 7 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Sarıyer (home)

For2.6

Vanspor FK (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Sarıyer — total shots (home)12.1
Vanspor FK — total shots (away)10.5

Shots on Target

Sarıyer — on target (home)4.4
Vanspor FK — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sarıyer

Inside the box6.84
Outside the box4.68

Vanspor FK

Inside the box6.95
Outside the box4.76

Player Shots Sarıyer

A. Urie
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
O. Sol
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Kulašin
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%

Player Shots Vanspor FK

Muhammed Çoksu
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
Iván Cédric
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Hostikka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Bilal
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
Sabahattin Destici
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sarıyer xG (home)1.15
Vanspor FK xG (away)1.24

Average Possession

47.79% Possession 54.89%

Team Comparison Sarıyer vs Vanspor FK

80.71% Pass accuracy 79.58%
384.29 Passes per match 397.71
0 Goals prevented 0
11.08 Fouls committed 14.92
2.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.89
2.4 Offsides 2
12.89 Tackles per match 15.05

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sarıyer vs Vanspor FK prediction analysis

Review Sarıyer vs Vanspor FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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