Prediction Analysis: Sassuolo vs Juventus
Sassuolo vs Juventus prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2026-09-13
16:30
Sassuolo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Juventus
Away
Prediction Summary
1
31%
X
27%
2
42%
+2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
51%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Sassuolo (Home)
Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%
Juventus (Away)
Goals scored / match1.37
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate42%
Team Form last 5 matches
Sassuolo
LLLWD
Juventus
DLWDD
Goals Comparison rate per team
68%
+0.5
79%
47%
+1.5
37%
16%
+2.5
16%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
47%
BTTS
42%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.
Sassuolo averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Juventus averages 1.37 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
31%
Draw
27%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
Head-to-Head last 5
Mar 2026
Sassuolo(A)
1 - 1
Juventus
Draw
Jan 2026
Sassuolo
0 - 3
Juventus
Away
Jan 2024
Sassuolo(A)
0 - 3
Juventus
Away
Sep 2023
Sassuolo
4 - 2
Juventus
Home
Apr 2023
Sassuolo
1 - 0
Juventus
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Sassuolo won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Sassuolo — unbeaten run (home)0
Sassuolo — scoring streak (home)4
Juventus — winless run (away)1
Juventus — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Sassuolo Win (1)31%
Draw (X)27%
Juventus Win (2)42%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
68%
+0.5
79%
47%
+1.5
37%
16%
+2.5
16%
0%
+3.5
5%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
32%
-0.5
21%
53%
-1.5
63%
84%
-2.5
84%
100%
-3.5
95%
100%
-4.5
100%
Sassuolo vs Juventus — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Sassuolo — scored (home)1.32
Sassuolo — conceded (home)1.37
Juventus — scored (away)1.37
Juventus — conceded (away)0.95
Model expected combined goals2.5
Both Teams To Score
Yes51%
No49%
Rate per Team
Sassuolo — BTTS matches (home)47%
Juventus — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)44.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Sassuolo (home)
Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0
Juventus (away)
Corners for4.4
Corners against4.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Sassuolo
11
5
12
10
2
Juventus
4
15
8
8
12
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.584%
Under 1.516%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9
Yellow Cards per Team
Sassuolo (home)
For2.1
Juventus (away)
For1.8
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.557%
Under 22.543%
Over 25.543%
Under 25.557%
Expected total shots24.87
Sassuolo
Shots Over 9.568%
Shots Over 11.551%
Shots Over 13.535%
Expected shots12.12
On Target Over 3.553%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.90
Juventus
Shots Over 9.572%
Shots Over 11.556%
Shots Over 13.540%
Expected shots12.74
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.39
Shots per Game
Sassuolo — total shots (home)10.7
Juventus — total shots (away)13.9
Shots on Target
Sassuolo — on target (home)3.7
Juventus — on target (away)5.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Sassuolo
Inside the box7
Outside the box3.66
Juventus
Inside the box11
Outside the box5.82
Player Shots Sassuolo
A. Pinamonti
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Berardi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Laurienté
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
K. Thorstvedt
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target3%
C. Volpato
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target4%
Player Shots Juventus
K. Yıldız
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target28%
D. Vlahović
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target21%
J. Boga
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target20%
Francisco Conceição
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target19%
E. Zhegrova
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target5%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Sassuolo xG (home)1.12
Juventus xG (away)1.81
Average Possession
46.13%
Possession
57.5%
Team Comparison Sassuolo vs Juventus
82.16%
Pass accuracy
86.21%
401.45
Passes per match
520.92
0.01
Goals prevented
0.02
11.97
Fouls committed
12.13
3.53
Goalkeeper saves
1.97
1.89
Offsides
2.03
13.66
Tackles per match
16.05
League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Sassuolo vs Juventus prediction analysis
Review Sassuolo vs Juventus with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights