Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sassuolo vs Torino

Sassuolo vs Torino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-08-30 16:30
Sassuolo
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
53%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Torino
Away

Prediction Summary

1
47%
X
25%
2
28%
+2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Sassuolo (Home)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Torino (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sassuolo
LLLWD
Torino
DLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 58%
47% +1.5 21%
16% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
47% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.

Sassuolo averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Torino averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
47%
Draw
25%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Sassuolo(A) 1 - 2 Torino Away
Dec 2025 Sassuolo 0 - 1 Torino Away
Feb 2024 Sassuolo 1 - 1 Torino Draw
Nov 2023 Sassuolo(A) 1 - 2 Torino Away
Apr 2023 Sassuolo 1 - 1 Torino Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Sassuolo won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Sassuolo — unbeaten run (home)0
Sassuolo — scoring streak (home)4
Torino — winless run (away)3
Torino — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sassuolo Win (1)47%
Draw (X)25%
Torino Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 58%
47% +1.5 21%
16% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 42%
53% -1.5 79%
84% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Sassuolo vs Torino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sassuolo — scored (home)1.32
Sassuolo — conceded (home)1.37
Torino — scored (away)0.89
Torino — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Sassuolo — BTTS matches (home)47%
Torino — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)42%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sassuolo (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

Torino (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sassuolo
11 5 12 10 2
Torino
10 7 12 6 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.571%
Under 2.529%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Sassuolo (home)

For2.1

Torino (away)

For2.1

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.557%
Under 22.543%
Over 25.543%
Under 25.557%
Expected total shots24.76

Sassuolo

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.558%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots12.97
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.542%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.30

Torino

Shots Over 9.565%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.78
On Target Over 3.553%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.91

Shots per Game

Sassuolo — total shots (home)10.7
Torino — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

Sassuolo — on target (home)3.7
Torino — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sassuolo

Inside the box7
Outside the box3.66

Torino

Inside the box7.34
Outside the box4.47

Player Shots Sassuolo

A. Pinamonti
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
D. Berardi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target23%
A. Laurienté
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
K. Thorstvedt
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target3%
C. Volpato
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Torino

G. Simeone
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target16%
C. Ngonge
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
C. Adams
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
D. Zapata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. Casadei
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sassuolo xG (home)1.12
Torino xG (away)1.21

Average Possession

46.13% Possession 44.13%

Team Comparison Sassuolo vs Torino

82.16% Pass accuracy 79.45%
401.45 Passes per match 375.24
0.01 Goals prevented -0.1
11.97 Fouls committed 13.95
3.53 Goalkeeper saves 2.79
1.89 Offsides 1.75
13.66 Tackles per match 16.05

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sassuolo vs Torino prediction analysis

Review Sassuolo vs Torino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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