Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SC Braga vs AVS

SC Braga vs AVS prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-04-13 17:00
SC Braga
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
AVS
Away

Prediction Summary

1
58%
X
23%
2
19%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

SC Braga (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate59%

AVS (Away)

Goals scored / match0.78
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

SC Braga
DLDDW
AVS
DWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 67%
59% +1.5 11%
29% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

SC Braga averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while AVS averages 0.78 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
58%
Draw
23%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 SC Braga(A) 4 - 0 AVS Home
Aug 2025 SC Braga 2 - 2 AVS Draw
Apr 2025 SC Braga 4 - 1 AVS Home
Dec 2024 SC Braga(A) 1 - 0 AVS Home

In the last 4 meetings, SC Braga won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

SC Braga — unbeaten run (home)8
SC Braga — scoring streak (home)14
AVS — winless run (away)1
AVS — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SC Braga Win (1)58%
Draw (X)23%
AVS Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 67%
59% +1.5 11%
29% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 33%
41% -1.5 89%
71% -2.5 100%
88% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

SC Braga vs AVS — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SC Braga — scored (home)1.94
SC Braga — conceded (home)1.12
AVS — scored (away)0.78
AVS — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

SC Braga — BTTS matches (home)59%
AVS — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)57.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

SC Braga (home)

Corners for7.0
Corners against3.1

AVS (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SC Braga
3 15 8 9 12
AVS
9 7 6 10 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

SC Braga (home)

For1.9

AVS (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

SC Braga — total shots (home)14.8
AVS — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

SC Braga — on target (home)5.6
AVS — on target (away)2.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SC Braga

Inside the box8.97
Outside the box4.71

AVS

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box4.17

Player Shots SC Braga

Bruma
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
Gabri Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
R. Zalazar
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%
Roger Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. El Ouazzani
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots AVS

Samuel Granada
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Zé Luís
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target12%
B. Akinsola
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%
Vasco Lopes
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target8%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SC Braga xG (home)1.5
AVS xG (away)0.89

Average Possession

56.94% Possession 42.81%

Team Comparison SC Braga vs AVS

82.91% Pass accuracy 76.78%
500.94 Passes per match 347.36
0.15 Goals prevented -0.09
14.21 Fouls committed 14.08
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.65
2 Offsides 1.5
16.74 Tackles per match 16.25

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SC Braga vs AVS prediction analysis

Review SC Braga vs AVS with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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