Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SC Braga vs Boavista

SC Braga vs Boavista prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-01-26 20:30
SC Braga
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Boavista
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
23%
2
29%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

SC Braga (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate59%

Boavista (Away)

Goals scored / match0.94
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

SC Braga
DLDDW
Boavista
LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 59%
59% +1.5 35%
29% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

SC Braga averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Boavista averages 0.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
23%
Away Win
29%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jan 2025 SC Braga 3 - 0 Boavista Home
Aug 2024 SC Braga(A) 1 - 0 Boavista Home
Feb 2024 SC Braga(A) 4 - 0 Boavista Home
Sep 2023 SC Braga 4 - 1 Boavista Home
May 2023 SC Braga(A) 1 - 1 Boavista Draw

In the last 5 meetings, SC Braga won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

SC Braga — unbeaten run (home)8
SC Braga — scoring streak (home)14
Boavista — winless run (away)1
Boavista — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SC Braga Win (1)48%
Draw (X)23%
Boavista Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 59%
59% +1.5 35%
29% +2.5 0%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 41%
41% -1.5 65%
71% -2.5 100%
88% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

SC Braga vs Boavista — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SC Braga — scored (home)1.94
SC Braga — conceded (home)1.12
Boavista — scored (away)0.94
Boavista — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals3.11

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

SC Braga — BTTS matches (home)59%
Boavista — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

SC Braga (home)

Corners for7.0
Corners against3.1

Boavista (away)

Corners for3.2
Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SC Braga
3 15 8 9 12
Boavista
8 8 9 4 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.591%
Under 1.59%
Over 2.583%
Under 2.517%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

SC Braga (home)

For1.9

Boavista (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

SC Braga — total shots (home)14.8
Boavista — total shots (away)9.2

Shots on Target

SC Braga — on target (home)5.6
Boavista — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SC Braga

Inside the box8.97
Outside the box4.71

Boavista

Inside the box6.09
Outside the box4.32

Player Shots SC Braga

Bruma
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
Gabri Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
R. Zalazar
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%
Roger Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. El Ouazzani
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Boavista

Manuel Namora
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Boženík
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target24%
Joel da Silva
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Diaby
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target8%
Miguel Reisinho
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SC Braga xG (home)1.5
Boavista xG (away)0.96

Average Possession

56.94% Possession 39.79%

Team Comparison SC Braga vs Boavista

82.91% Pass accuracy 73.29%
500.94 Passes per match 315.88
0.15 Goals prevented 0.24
14.21 Fouls committed 12.74
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.5
2 Offsides 2.53
16.74 Tackles per match 16.82

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SC Braga vs Boavista prediction analysis

Review SC Braga vs Boavista with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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