Prediction Analysis: SC Braga vs GIL Vicente
SC Braga vs GIL Vicente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primeira Liga
2026-08-16
19:30
SC Braga
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
GIL Vicente
Away
Prediction Summary
1
50%
X
25%
2
26%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
SC Braga (Home)
Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate53%
GIL Vicente (Away)
Goals scored / match1.12
Goals conceded / match1.24
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%
Team Form last 5 matches
SC Braga
DDDLW
GIL Vicente
LLDWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
88%
+0.5
65%
65%
+1.5
35%
29%
+2.5
6%
12%
+3.5
6%
6%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
47%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.
SC Braga averages 2 goals scored at home, while GIL Vicente averages 1.12 goals scored away.
Model Strength
53%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
50%
Draw
25%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
SC Braga(A)
1 - 2
GIL Vicente
Away
Sep 2025
SC Braga
0 - 1
GIL Vicente
Away
Feb 2025
SC Braga
2 - 0
GIL Vicente
Home
Sep 2024
SC Braga(A)
0 - 0
GIL Vicente
Draw
Mar 2024
SC Braga
2 - 1
GIL Vicente
Home
In the last 5 meetings, SC Braga won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
SC Braga — unbeaten run (home)4
SC Braga — scoring streak (home)13
GIL Vicente — winless run (away)6
GIL Vicente — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
SC Braga Win (1)50%
Draw (X)25%
GIL Vicente Win (2)26%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
88%
+0.5
65%
65%
+1.5
35%
29%
+2.5
6%
12%
+3.5
6%
6%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
12%
-0.5
35%
35%
-1.5
65%
71%
-2.5
94%
88%
-3.5
94%
94%
-4.5
100%
SC Braga vs GIL Vicente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
SC Braga — scored (home)2
SC Braga — conceded (home)1.06
GIL Vicente — scored (away)1.12
GIL Vicente — conceded (away)1.24
Model expected combined goals2.71
Both Teams To Score
Yes53%
No47%
Rate per Team
SC Braga — BTTS matches (home)53%
GIL Vicente — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.557%
Under 8.543%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
SC Braga (home)
Corners for5.3
Corners against3.1
GIL Vicente (away)
Corners for5.7
Corners against4.5
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
SC Braga
9
5
9
10
8
GIL Vicente
13
7
16
8
7
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9
Yellow Cards per Team
SC Braga (home)
For2.0
GIL Vicente (away)
For2.7
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.563%
Under 19.537%
Over 22.549%
Under 22.551%
Over 25.535%
Under 25.565%
Expected total shots23.08
SC Braga
Shots Over 9.571%
Shots Over 11.556%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.82
On Target Over 3.564%
On Target Over 4.547%
On Target Over 5.533%
Expected on target4.63
GIL Vicente
Shots Over 9.552%
Shots Over 11.535%
Shots Over 13.522%
Expected shots10.27
On Target Over 3.544%
On Target Over 4.528%
On Target Over 5.516%
Expected on target3.46
Shots per Game
SC Braga — total shots (home)11.0
GIL Vicente — total shots (away)12.9
Shots on Target
SC Braga — on target (home)4.4
GIL Vicente — on target (away)4.1
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
SC Braga
Inside the box7.79
Outside the box3.85
GIL Vicente
Inside the box7.88
Outside the box5.91
Player Shots SC Braga
Roger Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target50%
Ricardo Horta
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target21%
R. Zalazar
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target21%
Pau Victor
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. El Ouazzani
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
Player Shots GIL Vicente
Murilo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target72%
+1.5 On Target22%
Pablo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target77%
+1.5 On Target15%
Gustavo Varela
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
Luís Esteves
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target9%
Santi García
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target15%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Braga xG (home)1.69
GIL Vicente xG (away)1.32
Average Possession
62.85%
Possession
49.79%
Team Comparison SC Braga vs GIL Vicente
86.88%
Pass accuracy
80.24%
603.32
Passes per match
374.15
0
Goals prevented
-0.13
11.74
Fouls committed
13.53
2.24
Goalkeeper saves
2.5
1.34
Offsides
1.44
13.59
Tackles per match
14.56
League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
SC Braga vs GIL Vicente prediction analysis
Review SC Braga vs GIL Vicente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights