Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SC Braga vs Lazio

SC Braga vs Lazio prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-01-30 20:00
SC Braga
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
0-1
Lazio
Away

Prediction Summary

1
23%
X
24%
2
53%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

SC Braga (Home)

Goals scored / match1.57
Goals conceded / match0.57
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate43%

Lazio (Away)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match0.83
Over 2.5 rate33%
BTTS rate33%

Team Form last 5 matches

SC Braga
WLLWD
Lazio
WLDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

86% +0.5 67%
57% +1.5 67%
14% +2.5 33%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
43% BTTS 33%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

SC Braga averages 1.57 goals scored at home, while Lazio averages 1.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
23%
Draw
24%
Away Win
53%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
51%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jan 2025 SC Braga 1 - 0 Lazio Home

In the last 1 meetings, SC Braga won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

SC Braga — unbeaten run (home)2
SC Braga — scoring streak (home)5
Lazio — winless run (away)1
Lazio — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SC Braga Win (1)23%
Draw (X)24%
Lazio Win (2)53%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

86% +0.5 67%
57% +1.5 67%
14% +2.5 33%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

14% -0.5 33%
43% -1.5 33%
86% -2.5 67%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

SC Braga vs Lazio — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SC Braga — scored (home)1.57
SC Braga — conceded (home)0.57
Lazio — scored (away)1.67
Lazio — conceded (away)0.83
Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%
No49%

Rate per Team

SC Braga — BTTS matches (home)43%
Lazio — BTTS matches (away)33%
Combined (simple average)38%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.570%
Under 4.530%
Over 5.562%
Under 5.538%
Over 6.545%
Under 6.555%
Over 7.545%
Under 7.555%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.537%
Under 9.563%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)6.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

SC Braga (home)

Corners for5.5
Corners against5.0

Lazio (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SC Braga
9 10 19 3 11
Lazio
11 9 16 5 18

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.577%
Under 1.523%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

SC Braga (home)

For1.7

Lazio (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

SC Braga — total shots (home)17.0
Lazio — total shots (away)10.8

Shots on Target

SC Braga — on target (home)7.3
Lazio — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SC Braga

Inside the box8.88
Outside the box4.25

Lazio

Inside the box10.25
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots SC Braga

Roger Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Bruma
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target33%
Ricardo Horta
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Ismaël Gharbi
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
Roberto Fernández
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Lazio

V. Castellanos
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target27%
M. Zaccagni
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
Pedro
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
B. Dia
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
A. Romagnoli
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SC Braga xG (home)1.57
Lazio xG (away)1.65

Average Possession

52.22% Possession 52.25%

Team Comparison SC Braga vs Lazio

80.75% Pass accuracy 84.58%
490.13 Passes per match 496.08
0.08 Goals prevented 0.37
11.22 Fouls committed 12.83
3.56 Goalkeeper saves 3.08
0.78 Offsides 2.5
21 Tackles per match 17.17

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SC Braga vs Lazio prediction analysis

Review SC Braga vs Lazio with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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