What markets are included in the SC Braga vs Nacional prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the SC Braga vs Nacional prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: SC Braga vs Nacional

SC Braga vs Nacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-02-21 20:15

SC Braga

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-0

Nacional

Away

Prediction Summary

53%

24%

22%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

SC Braga (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match1.12

Over 2.5 rate29%

BTTS rate59%

Nacional (Away)

Goals scored / match0.53

Goals conceded / match1.35

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate29%

Team Form last 5 matches

SC Braga

DLDDW

Nacional

LDLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 41%

59% +1.5 12%

29% +2.5 0%

12% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

59% BTTS 29%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

SC Braga averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Nacional averages 0.53 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

53%

Draw

24%

Away Win

22%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 SC Braga(A) 2 - 1 Nacional Home

Nov 2025 SC Braga 4 - 2 Nacional Home

Sep 2025 SC Braga 0 - 1 Nacional Away

Feb 2025 SC Braga 1 - 0 Nacional Home

Sep 2024 SC Braga(A) 3 - 0 Nacional Home

In the last 5 meetings, SC Braga won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

SC Braga — unbeaten run (home)8

SC Braga — scoring streak (home)14

Nacional — winless run (away)2

Nacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SC Braga Win (1)53%

Draw (X)24%

Nacional Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 41%

59% +1.5 12%

29% +2.5 0%

12% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 59%

41% -1.5 88%

71% -2.5 100%

88% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

SC Braga vs Nacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SC Braga — scored (home)1.94

SC Braga — conceded (home)1.12

Nacional — scored (away)0.53

Nacional — conceded (away)1.35

Model expected combined goals2.68

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

SC Braga — BTTS matches (home)59%

Nacional — BTTS matches (away)29%

Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.594%

Under 5.56%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.562%

Under 8.538%

Over 9.559%

Under 9.541%

Over 10.547%

Under 10.553%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

SC Braga (home)

Corners for7.0

Corners against3.1

Nacional (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SC Braga

3 15 8 9 12

Nacional

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.585%

Under 1.515%

Over 2.568%

Under 2.532%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

SC Braga (home)

For1.9

Nacional (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

SC Braga — total shots (home)14.8

Nacional — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

SC Braga — on target (home)5.6

Nacional — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SC Braga

Inside the box8.97

Outside the box4.71

Nacional

Inside the box7.21

Outside the box6.15

Player Shots SC Braga

Bruma

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target47%

+1.5 On Target24%

Gabri Martínez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target17%

R. Zalazar

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target16%

Roger Fernandes

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target14%

A. El Ouazzani

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Nacional

Dudu

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target14%

Paulinho Bóia

Shots on Target/Game1.6

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Thomas

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target11%

Daniel Penha

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target13%

Rúben Macedo

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target22%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SC Braga xG (home)1.5

Nacional xG (away)1.03

Average Possession

56.94% Possession 47.29%

Team Comparison SC Braga vs Nacional

82.91% Pass accuracy 76.94%

500.94 Passes per match 339.32

0.15 Goals prevented 0

14.21 Fouls committed 13.5

2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.15

2 Offsides 1.65

16.74 Tackles per match 15.94

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SC Braga vs Nacional prediction analysis

Review SC Braga vs Nacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights