Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SC Braga vs Rio Ave

SC Braga vs Rio Ave prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Primeira Liga 2024-09-29 19:30
SC Braga
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Rio Ave
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
24%
2
19%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

SC Braga (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.12
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate59%

Rio Ave (Away)

Goals scored / match0.82
Goals conceded / match1.82
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

SC Braga
DLDDW
Rio Ave
DDWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 53%
59% +1.5 24%
29% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
59% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Medium.

SC Braga averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Rio Ave averages 0.82 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
24%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 SC Braga 3 - 0 Rio Ave Home
Aug 2025 SC Braga(A) 2 - 2 Rio Ave Draw
Mar 2025 SC Braga(A) 1 - 2 Rio Ave Away
Sep 2024 SC Braga 4 - 0 Rio Ave Home
Mar 2024 SC Braga(A) 0 - 0 Rio Ave Draw

In the last 5 meetings, SC Braga won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

SC Braga — unbeaten run (home)8
SC Braga — scoring streak (home)14
Rio Ave — winless run (away)2
Rio Ave — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SC Braga Win (1)57%
Draw (X)24%
Rio Ave Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 53%
59% +1.5 24%
29% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 47%
41% -1.5 76%
71% -2.5 94%
88% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

SC Braga vs Rio Ave — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SC Braga — scored (home)1.94
SC Braga — conceded (home)1.12
Rio Ave — scored (away)0.82
Rio Ave — conceded (away)1.82
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

SC Braga — BTTS matches (home)59%
Rio Ave — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

SC Braga (home)

Corners for7.0
Corners against3.1

Rio Ave (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SC Braga
3 15 8 9 12
Rio Ave
10 10 8 9 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

SC Braga (home)

For1.9

Rio Ave (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

SC Braga — total shots (home)14.8
Rio Ave — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

SC Braga — on target (home)5.6
Rio Ave — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SC Braga

Inside the box8.97
Outside the box4.71

Rio Ave

Inside the box6.79
Outside the box4.26

Player Shots SC Braga

Bruma
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
Gabri Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target17%
R. Zalazar
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target16%
Roger Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. El Ouazzani
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target15%

Player Shots Rio Ave

F. Petrasso
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
Clayton
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target35%
Koka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
E. Tıknaz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target7%
João Novais
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SC Braga xG (home)1.5
Rio Ave xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

56.94% Possession 47.71%

Team Comparison SC Braga vs Rio Ave

82.91% Pass accuracy 79.59%
500.94 Passes per match 389.88
0.15 Goals prevented -0.09
14.21 Fouls committed 13.5
2.79 Goalkeeper saves 3.53
2 Offsides 2.79
16.74 Tackles per match 17.68

League average xG this season is 1.21 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SC Braga vs Rio Ave prediction analysis

Review SC Braga vs Rio Ave with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top