Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SC Braga vs Santa Clara

SC Braga vs Santa Clara prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primeira Liga 2025-12-15 18:45
SC Braga
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Santa Clara
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
25%
2
18%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

SC Braga (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1.06
Over 2.5 rate29%
BTTS rate53%

Santa Clara (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

SC Braga
DDDLW
Santa Clara
LWDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 59%
65% +1.5 24%
29% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

SC Braga averages 2 goals scored at home, while Santa Clara averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
25%
Away Win
18%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 SC Braga(A) 1 - 2 Santa Clara Away
Dec 2025 SC Braga 1 - 0 Santa Clara Home
Oct 2025 SC Braga 5 - 0 Santa Clara Home
May 2025 SC Braga 1 - 1 Santa Clara Draw
Dec 2024 SC Braga(A) 2 - 0 Santa Clara Home

In the last 5 meetings, SC Braga won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

SC Braga — unbeaten run (home)4
SC Braga — scoring streak (home)13
Santa Clara — winless run (away)4
Santa Clara — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SC Braga Win (1)57%
Draw (X)25%
Santa Clara Win (2)18%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 59%
65% +1.5 24%
29% +2.5 6%
12% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 41%
35% -1.5 76%
71% -2.5 94%
88% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

SC Braga vs Santa Clara — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SC Braga — scored (home)2
SC Braga — conceded (home)1.06
Santa Clara — scored (away)0.88
Santa Clara — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

SC Braga — BTTS matches (home)53%
Santa Clara — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.576%
Under 6.524%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.544%
Under 9.556%
Over 10.530%
Under 10.570%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

SC Braga (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against3.1

Santa Clara (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SC Braga
9 5 9 10 8
Santa Clara
10 5 11 10 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.597%
Under 1.53%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

SC Braga (home)

For2.0

Santa Clara (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

SC Braga — total shots (home)11.0
Santa Clara — total shots (away)11.8

Shots on Target

SC Braga — on target (home)4.4
Santa Clara — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SC Braga

Inside the box7.79
Outside the box3.85

Santa Clara

Inside the box6.62
Outside the box5.09

Player Shots SC Braga

Roger Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target50%
Ricardo Horta
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target79%
+1.5 On Target21%
R. Zalazar
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target21%
Pau Victor
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. El Ouazzani
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Santa Clara

Gabriel Silva
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target10%
Vinícius Lopes
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
Gonçalo Paciência
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Wendel
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target8%
MT
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SC Braga xG (home)1.69
Santa Clara xG (away)1.07

Average Possession

62.85% Possession 48.44%

Team Comparison SC Braga vs Santa Clara

86.88% Pass accuracy 79.29%
603.32 Passes per match 368.82
0 Goals prevented -0.12
11.74 Fouls committed 14.85
2.24 Goalkeeper saves 2.48
1.34 Offsides 1.78
13.59 Tackles per match 15.56

League average xG this season is 1.3 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SC Braga vs Santa Clara prediction analysis

Review SC Braga vs Santa Clara with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primeira Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primeira Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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