What markets are included in the SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-12-14 14:30

SC Freiburg

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

60%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Borussia Dortmund

Away

Prediction Summary

39%

24%

37%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

62%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

SC Freiburg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate82%

Borussia Dortmund (Away)

Goals scored / match1.76

Goals conceded / match1.06

Over 2.5 rate18%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

SC Freiburg

WLDLW

Borussia Dortmund

WWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 94%

65% +1.5 65%

24% +2.5 18%

12% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

82% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

SC Freiburg averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Borussia Dortmund averages 1.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength

62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

39%

Draw

24%

Away Win

37%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

62%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 SC Freiburg(A) 0 - 4 Borussia Dortmund Away

Dec 2025 SC Freiburg 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Draw

Apr 2025 SC Freiburg 1 - 4 Borussia Dortmund Away

Nov 2024 SC Freiburg(A) 0 - 4 Borussia Dortmund Away

Feb 2024 SC Freiburg(A) 0 - 3 Borussia Dortmund Away

In the last 5 meetings, SC Freiburg won 0, drew 1 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

SC Freiburg — unbeaten run (home)3

SC Freiburg — scoring streak (home)4

Borussia Dortmund — winless run (away)0

Borussia Dortmund — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SC Freiburg Win (1)39%

Draw (X)24%

Borussia Dortmund Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 94%

65% +1.5 65%

24% +2.5 18%

12% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 6%

35% -1.5 35%

76% -2.5 82%

88% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SC Freiburg — scored (home)1.94

SC Freiburg — conceded (home)1.29

Borussia Dortmund — scored (away)1.76

Borussia Dortmund — conceded (away)1.06

Model expected combined goals3.11

Both Teams To Score

Yes62%

No38%

Rate per Team

SC Freiburg — BTTS matches (home)82%

Borussia Dortmund — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.588%

Under 5.512%

Over 6.580%

Under 6.520%

Over 7.559%

Under 7.541%

Over 8.541%

Under 8.559%

Over 9.530%

Under 9.570%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

SC Freiburg (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.8

Borussia Dortmund (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SC Freiburg

9 5 8 6 3

Borussia Dortmund

7 5 2 8 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%

Under 0.53%

Over 1.582%

Under 1.518%

Over 2.565%

Under 2.535%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

SC Freiburg (home)

For1.5

Borussia Dortmund (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

SC Freiburg — total shots (home)14.2

Borussia Dortmund — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

SC Freiburg — on target (home)5.1

Borussia Dortmund — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SC Freiburg

Inside the box8.38

Outside the box3.85

Borussia Dortmund

Inside the box9.68

Outside the box3.38

Player Shots SC Freiburg

I. Matanović

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target19%

Y. Suzuki

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target16%

J. Beste

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

J. Manzambi

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target4%

L. Höler

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target27%

S. Inacio

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target14%

M. Beier

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target19%

J. Brandt

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target14%

K. Adeyemi

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SC Freiburg xG (home)1.43

Borussia Dortmund xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

48% Possession 53.24%

Team Comparison SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund

80.06% Pass accuracy 83.21%

406.47 Passes per match 493.21

-0.1 Goals prevented 0.14

9.35 Fouls committed 11.71

3 Goalkeeper saves 2.62

2.06 Offsides 1.18

14.35 Tackles per match 14.44

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund prediction analysis

Review SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights