Prediction Analysis: SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2026-09-12
13:30
SC Freiburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Away
Prediction Summary
1
53%
X
23%
2
25%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
SC Freiburg (Home)
Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate82%
Borussia Mönchengladbach (Away)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate47%
Team Form last 5 matches
SC Freiburg
WLDLW
Borussia Mönchengladbach
WLWDD
Goals Comparison rate per team
94%
+0.5
65%
65%
+1.5
18%
24%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
82%
BTTS
47%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.
SC Freiburg averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Borussia Mönchengladbach averages 1.06 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
53%
Draw
23%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
SC Freiburg
2 - 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home
Oct 2025
SC Freiburg(A)
0 - 0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Draw
Apr 2025
SC Freiburg(A)
2 - 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home
Nov 2024
SC Freiburg
3 - 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home
Mar 2024
SC Freiburg(A)
3 - 0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Home
In the last 5 meetings, SC Freiburg won 4, drew 1 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
SC Freiburg — unbeaten run (home)3
SC Freiburg — scoring streak (home)4
Borussia Mönchengladbach — winless run (away)11
Borussia Mönchengladbach — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
SC Freiburg Win (1)53%
Draw (X)23%
Borussia Mönchengladbach Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
94%
+0.5
65%
65%
+1.5
18%
24%
+2.5
18%
12%
+3.5
6%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
6%
-0.5
35%
35%
-1.5
82%
76%
-2.5
82%
88%
-3.5
94%
100%
-4.5
100%
SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
SC Freiburg — scored (home)1.94
SC Freiburg — conceded (home)1.29
Borussia Mönchengladbach — scored (away)1.06
Borussia Mönchengladbach — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals3
Both Teams To Score
Yes58%
No42%
Rate per Team
SC Freiburg — BTTS matches (home)82%
Borussia Mönchengladbach — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)64.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
SC Freiburg (home)
Corners for4.5
Corners against3.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against5.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
SC Freiburg
9
5
8
6
3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
6
13
2
5
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.568%
Under 2.532%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9
Yellow Cards per Team
SC Freiburg (home)
For1.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach (away)
For1.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.579%
Under 19.521%
Over 22.566%
Under 22.534%
Over 25.553%
Under 25.547%
Expected total shots26.91
SC Freiburg
Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.571%
Shots Over 13.556%
Expected shots14.92
On Target Over 3.576%
On Target Over 4.562%
On Target Over 5.547%
Expected on target5.62
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Shots Over 9.567%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.534%
Expected shots11.99
On Target Over 3.557%
On Target Over 4.540%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.19
Shots per Game
SC Freiburg — total shots (home)14.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach — total shots (away)11.7
Shots on Target
SC Freiburg — on target (home)5.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
SC Freiburg
Inside the box8.38
Outside the box3.85
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Inside the box7.71
Outside the box3.91
Player Shots SC Freiburg
I. Matanović
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target19%
Y. Suzuki
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Beste
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Manzambi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target4%
L. Höler
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots Borussia Mönchengladbach
H. Tabaković
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Hack
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
J. Castrop
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target19%
R. Reitz
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Diks
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Freiburg xG (home)1.43
Borussia Mönchengladbach xG (away)1.26
Average Possession
48%
Possession
46.71%
Team Comparison SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
80.06%
Pass accuracy
81.47%
406.47
Passes per match
442.29
-0.1
Goals prevented
0.16
9.35
Fouls committed
10.79
3
Goalkeeper saves
4
2.06
Offsides
1.94
14.35
Tackles per match
16.5
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction analysis
Review SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights