What markets are included in the SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV

SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2026-01-10 14:30

SC Freiburg

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

58%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-0

Hamburger SV

Away

Prediction Summary

67%

19%

14%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

SC Freiburg (Home)

Goals scored / match1.94

Goals conceded / match1.29

Over 2.5 rate24%

BTTS rate82%

Hamburger SV (Away)

Goals scored / match0.88

Goals conceded / match1.88

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate59%

Team Form last 5 matches

SC Freiburg

WLDLW

Hamburger SV

DWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 65%

65% +1.5 24%

24% +2.5 0%

12% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

82% BTTS 59%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

SC Freiburg averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Hamburger SV averages 0.88 goals scored away.

Model Strength

67%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

67%

Draw

19%

Away Win

14%

Over 2.5

58%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2026 SC Freiburg(A) 2 - 3 Hamburger SV Away

Jan 2026 SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Hamburger SV Home

Oct 2024 SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Hamburger SV Home

Apr 2022 SC Freiburg(A) 3 - 1 Hamburger SV Home

In the last 4 meetings, SC Freiburg won 3, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

SC Freiburg — unbeaten run (home)3

SC Freiburg — scoring streak (home)4

Hamburger SV — winless run (away)1

Hamburger SV — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SC Freiburg Win (1)67%

Draw (X)19%

Hamburger SV Win (2)14%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 65%

65% +1.5 24%

24% +2.5 0%

12% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 35%

35% -1.5 76%

76% -2.5 100%

88% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SC Freiburg — scored (home)1.94

SC Freiburg — conceded (home)1.29

Hamburger SV — scored (away)0.88

Hamburger SV — conceded (away)1.88

Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

SC Freiburg — BTTS matches (home)82%

Hamburger SV — BTTS matches (away)59%

Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.577%

Under 6.523%

Over 7.571%

Under 7.529%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.541%

Under 9.559%

Over 10.527%

Under 10.573%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

SC Freiburg (home)

Corners for4.5

Corners against3.8

Hamburger SV (away)

Corners for3.6

Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SC Freiburg

9 5 8 6 3

Hamburger SV

10 13 13 6 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.588%

Under 1.512%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

SC Freiburg (home)

For1.5

Hamburger SV (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

SC Freiburg — total shots (home)14.2

Hamburger SV — total shots (away)11.3

Shots on Target

SC Freiburg — on target (home)5.1

Hamburger SV — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SC Freiburg

Inside the box8.38

Outside the box3.85

Hamburger SV

Inside the box8.06

Outside the box4.24

Player Shots SC Freiburg

I. Matanović

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target19%

Y. Suzuki

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target16%

J. Beste

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

J. Manzambi

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target4%

L. Höler

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target9%

Player Shots Hamburger SV

R. Königsdörffer

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target12%

Fábio Vieira

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. Dompé

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target20%

R. Philippe

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target14%

A. Grønbæk

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SC Freiburg xG (home)1.43

Hamburger SV xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

48% Possession 45.35%

Team Comparison SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV

80.06% Pass accuracy 80%

406.47 Passes per match 390.12

-0.1 Goals prevented 0.02

9.35 Fouls committed 11.82

3 Goalkeeper saves 3.35

2.06 Offsides 1.79

14.35 Tackles per match 15

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV prediction analysis

Review SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights