Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SC Freiburg vs Red Bull Salzburg

SC Freiburg vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-12-11 20:00
SC Freiburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Red Bull Salzburg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
73%
X
17%
2
10%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

SC Freiburg (Home)

Goals scored / match2.13
Goals conceded / match0.75
Over 2.5 rate38%
BTTS rate38%

Red Bull Salzburg (Away)

Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match2.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

SC Freiburg
LWLWW
Red Bull Salzburg
LWLLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 50%
63% +1.5 25%
38% +2.5 0%
13% +3.5 0%
13% +4.5 0%
38% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is High.

SC Freiburg averages 2.13 goals scored at home, while Red Bull Salzburg averages 0.75 goals scored away.

Model Strength
73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
73%
Draw
17%
Away Win
10%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 1

Dec 2025 SC Freiburg 1 - 0 Red Bull Salzburg Home

In the last 1 meetings, SC Freiburg won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

SC Freiburg — unbeaten run (home)0
SC Freiburg — scoring streak (home)0
Red Bull Salzburg — winless run (away)4
Red Bull Salzburg — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

SC Freiburg Win (1)73%
Draw (X)17%
Red Bull Salzburg Win (2)10%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 50%
63% +1.5 25%
38% +2.5 0%
13% +3.5 0%
13% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 50%
37% -1.5 75%
62% -2.5 100%
87% -3.5 100%
87% -4.5 100%

SC Freiburg vs Red Bull Salzburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SC Freiburg — scored (home)2.13
SC Freiburg — conceded (home)0.75
Red Bull Salzburg — scored (away)0.75
Red Bull Salzburg — conceded (away)2.5
Model expected combined goals3.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

SC Freiburg — BTTS matches (home)38%
Red Bull Salzburg — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)44%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.582%
Under 4.518%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.544%
Under 8.556%
Over 9.525%
Under 9.575%
Over 10.525%
Under 10.575%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

SC Freiburg (home)

Corners for4.4
Corners against4.4

Red Bull Salzburg (away)

Corners for1.8
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SC Freiburg
3 9 4 12 9
Red Bull Salzburg
7 8 12 10 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.575%
Under 1.525%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)2.7

Yellow Cards per Team

SC Freiburg (home)

For1.4

Red Bull Salzburg (away)

For1.3

Shots per Game

SC Freiburg — total shots (home)16.1
Red Bull Salzburg — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

SC Freiburg — on target (home)5.8
Red Bull Salzburg — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SC Freiburg

Inside the box8.87
Outside the box4.13

Red Bull Salzburg

Inside the box8.13
Outside the box5.38

Player Shots SC Freiburg

J. Manzambi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target13%
D. Scherhant
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target23%
Y. Suzuki
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
M. Eggestein
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
I. Matanović
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%

Player Shots Red Bull Salzburg

E. Baidoo
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
Y. Vertessen
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. Konaté
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target29%
S. Kitano
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SC Freiburg xG (home)1.45
Red Bull Salzburg xG (away)1.48

Average Possession

49.2% Possession 45%

Team Comparison SC Freiburg vs Red Bull Salzburg

81.4% Pass accuracy 82.25%
402.47 Passes per match 433.63
0.11 Goals prevented -0
12.67 Fouls committed 11.38
2.8 Goalkeeper saves 4.13
1.75 Offsides 2.38
17.4 Tackles per match 17.63

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SC Freiburg vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction analysis

Review SC Freiburg vs Red Bull Salzburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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