Prediction Analysis: SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen
SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Bundesliga
2026-08-30
13:30
SC Freiburg
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Werder Bremen
Away
Prediction Summary
1
53%
X
23%
2
25%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
SC Freiburg (Home)
Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.29
Over 2.5 rate24%
BTTS rate82%
Werder Bremen (Away)
Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match1.71
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate47%
Team Form last 5 matches
SC Freiburg
WLDLW
Werder Bremen
LLLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
94%
+0.5
59%
65%
+1.5
24%
24%
+2.5
12%
12%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
0%
82%
BTTS
47%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.
SC Freiburg averages 1.94 goals scored at home, while Werder Bremen averages 1.06 goals scored away.
Model Strength
58%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
53%
Draw
23%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
Head-to-Head last 5
Feb 2026
SC Freiburg
1 - 0
Werder Bremen
Home
Sep 2025
SC Freiburg(A)
3 - 0
Werder Bremen
Home
Feb 2025
SC Freiburg
5 - 0
Werder Bremen
Home
Oct 2024
SC Freiburg(A)
1 - 0
Werder Bremen
Home
Jan 2024
SC Freiburg(A)
1 - 3
Werder Bremen
Away
In the last 5 meetings, SC Freiburg won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
SC Freiburg — unbeaten run (home)3
SC Freiburg — scoring streak (home)4
Werder Bremen — winless run (away)3
Werder Bremen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
SC Freiburg Win (1)53%
Draw (X)23%
Werder Bremen Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
94%
+0.5
59%
65%
+1.5
24%
24%
+2.5
12%
12%
+3.5
12%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
6%
-0.5
41%
35%
-1.5
76%
76%
-2.5
88%
88%
-3.5
88%
100%
-4.5
100%
SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
SC Freiburg — scored (home)1.94
SC Freiburg — conceded (home)1.29
Werder Bremen — scored (away)1.06
Werder Bremen — conceded (away)1.71
Model expected combined goals3
Both Teams To Score
Yes58%
No42%
Rate per Team
SC Freiburg — BTTS matches (home)82%
Werder Bremen — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)64.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.80
Per-Team Corners own matches
SC Freiburg (home)
Corners for4.5
Corners against3.8
Werder Bremen (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against6.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
SC Freiburg
9
5
8
6
3
Werder Bremen
10
16
10
11
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.579%
Under 1.521%
Over 2.565%
Under 2.535%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7
Yellow Cards per Team
SC Freiburg (home)
For1.5
Werder Bremen (away)
For2.3
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.577%
Under 19.523%
Over 22.564%
Under 22.536%
Over 25.551%
Under 25.549%
Expected total shots26.47
SC Freiburg
Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.570%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.71
On Target Over 3.573%
On Target Over 4.558%
On Target Over 5.543%
Expected on target5.31
Werder Bremen
Shots Over 9.566%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.76
On Target Over 3.555%
On Target Over 4.538%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.05
Shots per Game
SC Freiburg — total shots (home)14.2
Werder Bremen — total shots (away)10.8
Shots on Target
SC Freiburg — on target (home)5.1
Werder Bremen — on target (away)3.6
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
SC Freiburg
Inside the box8.38
Outside the box3.85
Werder Bremen
Inside the box8.09
Outside the box4.94
Player Shots SC Freiburg
I. Matanović
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target19%
Y. Suzuki
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Beste
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Manzambi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target4%
L. Höler
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
Player Shots Werder Bremen
J. Stage
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Njinmah
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target21%
R. Schmid
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target12%
V. Boniface
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%
S. Musah
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Freiburg xG (home)1.43
Werder Bremen xG (away)1.23
Average Possession
48%
Possession
51.15%
Team Comparison SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen
80.06%
Pass accuracy
81.53%
406.47
Passes per match
480.41
-0.1
Goals prevented
0.2
9.35
Fouls committed
9.91
3
Goalkeeper saves
3.26
2.06
Offsides
1.82
14.35
Tackles per match
17.12
League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen prediction analysis
Review SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights