Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SC Paderborn 07 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

SC Paderborn 07 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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2. Bundesliga 2025-08-23 11:00
SC Paderborn 07
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Away

Prediction Summary

1
54%
X
23%
2
23%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

SC Paderborn 07 (Home)

Goals scored / match2.06
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate82%

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Away)

Goals scored / match0.65
Goals conceded / match1.59
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

SC Paderborn 07
WDLLD
Fortuna Düsseldorf
LWLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

94% +0.5 53%
71% +1.5 12%
18% +2.5 0%
18% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%
82% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

SC Paderborn 07 averages 2.06 goals scored at home, while Fortuna Düsseldorf averages 0.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
54%
Draw
23%
Away Win
23%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 SC Paderborn 07(A) 1 - 2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Away
Aug 2025 SC Paderborn 07 1 - 2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Away
Apr 2025 SC Paderborn 07 1 - 2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Away
Nov 2024 SC Paderborn 07(A) 1 - 1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Draw
Feb 2024 SC Paderborn 07 4 - 3 Fortuna Düsseldorf Home

In the last 5 meetings, SC Paderborn 07 won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

SC Paderborn 07 — unbeaten run (home)1
SC Paderborn 07 — scoring streak (home)10
Fortuna Düsseldorf — winless run (away)5
Fortuna Düsseldorf — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SC Paderborn 07 Win (1)54%
Draw (X)23%
Fortuna Düsseldorf Win (2)23%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

94% +0.5 53%
71% +1.5 12%
18% +2.5 0%
18% +3.5 0%
6% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

6% -0.5 47%
29% -1.5 88%
82% -2.5 100%
82% -3.5 100%
94% -4.5 100%

SC Paderborn 07 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SC Paderborn 07 — scored (home)2.06
SC Paderborn 07 — conceded (home)1.59
Fortuna Düsseldorf — scored (away)0.65
Fortuna Düsseldorf — conceded (away)1.59
Model expected combined goals2.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

SC Paderborn 07 — BTTS matches (home)82%
Fortuna Düsseldorf — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.585%
Under 5.515%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.571%
Under 8.529%
Over 9.562%
Under 9.538%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

SC Paderborn 07 (home)

Corners for6.0
Corners against4.8

Fortuna Düsseldorf (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SC Paderborn 07
8 9 8 5 7
Fortuna Düsseldorf
13 9 5 7 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

SC Paderborn 07 (home)

For1.4

Fortuna Düsseldorf (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

SC Paderborn 07 — total shots (home)17.1
Fortuna Düsseldorf — total shots (away)12.6

Shots on Target

SC Paderborn 07 — on target (home)5.9
Fortuna Düsseldorf — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SC Paderborn 07

Inside the box10.44
Outside the box4.85

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Inside the box8.24
Outside the box4.35

Player Shots SC Paderborn 07

S. Tigges
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target16%
L. Engelns
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target12%
L. Curda
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. Obermair
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target11%
F. Bilbija
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target17%

Player Shots Fortuna Düsseldorf

J. Daland
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
C. Itten
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target40%
C. Rasmussen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
F. Muslija
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target7%
D. Schmidt
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SC Paderborn 07 xG (home)1.82
Fortuna Düsseldorf xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

53.26% Possession 49.26%

Team Comparison SC Paderborn 07 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

80.65% Pass accuracy 79.71%
452.62 Passes per match 414.65
-0.01 Goals prevented 0.01
12.82 Fouls committed 12.32
3.03 Goalkeeper saves 3.35
2.06 Offsides 1.85
17.26 Tackles per match 17.24

League average xG this season is 1.49 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SC Paderborn 07 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf prediction analysis

Review SC Paderborn 07 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 2. Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 2. Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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