Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg

SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Bundesliga 2026-09-05 13:30
SC Paderborn 07
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
68%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
SC Freiburg
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
22%
2
42%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

SC Paderborn 07 (Home)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

SC Freiburg (Away)

Goals scored / match1.06
Goals conceded / match2.06
Over 2.5 rate12%
BTTS rate41%

Team Form last 5 matches

SC Paderborn 07
WD
SC Freiburg
WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 53%
100% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
100% BTTS 41%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

SC Paderborn 07 averages 2 goals scored at home, while SC Freiburg averages 1.06 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
22%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS Yes
68%

Head-to-Head last 3

Nov 2023 SC Paderborn 07(A) 3 - 1 SC Freiburg Home
Jan 2020 SC Paderborn 07(A) 2 - 0 SC Freiburg Home
Aug 2019 SC Paderborn 07 1 - 3 SC Freiburg Away

In the last 3 meetings, SC Paderborn 07 won 2, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

SC Paderborn 07 — unbeaten run (home)1
SC Paderborn 07 — scoring streak (home)1
SC Freiburg — winless run (away)2
SC Freiburg — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SC Paderborn 07 Win (1)35%
Draw (X)22%
SC Freiburg Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 53%
100% +1.5 35%
0% +2.5 12%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 47%
0% -1.5 65%
100% -2.5 88%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SC Paderborn 07 — scored (home)2
SC Paderborn 07 — conceded (home)1
SC Freiburg — scored (away)1.06
SC Freiburg — conceded (away)2.06
Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes68%
No32%

Rate per Team

SC Paderborn 07 — BTTS matches (home)100%
SC Freiburg — BTTS matches (away)41%
Combined (simple average)70.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.539%
Under 10.561%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

SC Paderborn 07 (home)

Corners for19.0
Corners against2.0

SC Freiburg (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SC Paderborn 07
5 21
SC Freiburg
9 5 8 6 3

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.3

Yellow Cards per Team

SC Paderborn 07 (home)

For3.0

SC Freiburg (away)

For1.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.579%
Under 19.521%
Over 22.567%
Under 22.533%
Over 25.554%
Under 25.546%
Expected total shots27.18

SC Paderborn 07

Shots Over 9.587%
Shots Over 11.577%
Shots Over 13.563%
Expected shots16.03
On Target Over 3.574%
On Target Over 4.559%
On Target Over 5.545%
Expected on target5.43

SC Freiburg

Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.543%
Shots Over 13.528%
Expected shots11.14
On Target Over 3.553%
On Target Over 4.536%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.94

Shots per Game

SC Paderborn 07 — total shots (home)39.0
SC Freiburg — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

SC Paderborn 07 — on target (home)10.0
SC Freiburg — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SC Paderborn 07

Inside the box14.5
Outside the box6

SC Freiburg

Inside the box8.38
Outside the box3.85

Player Shots SC Paderborn 07

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots SC Freiburg

I. Matanović
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target19%
Y. Suzuki
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target16%
J. Beste
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target7%
J. Manzambi
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target4%
L. Höler
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SC Paderborn 07 xG (home)0
SC Freiburg xG (away)1.43

Average Possession

52% Possession 48%

Team Comparison SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg

80.5% Pass accuracy 80.06%
501.5 Passes per match 406.47
0 Goals prevented -0.1
14 Fouls committed 9.35
4.5 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Offsides 2.06
17 Tackles per match 14.35

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg prediction and preview

Preview SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, recent form and key team performance data.

1X2 Over/Under 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top