Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: SCR Altach vs Sturm Graz

SCR Altach vs Sturm Graz prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Bundesliga 2025-10-05 12:30
SCR Altach
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Sturm Graz
Away

Prediction Summary

1
15%
X
26%
2
59%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
64%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

SCR Altach (Home)

Goals scored / match1.31
Goals conceded / match0.94
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate56%

Sturm Graz (Away)

Goals scored / match2.13
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate31%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

SCR Altach
WDLLD
Sturm Graz
WWDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 94%
31% +1.5 63%
13% +2.5 31%
0% +3.5 19%
0% +4.5 6%
56% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

SCR Altach averages 1.31 goals scored at home, while Sturm Graz averages 2.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
15%
Draw
26%
Away Win
59%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
36%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 SCR Altach(A) 0 - 2 Sturm Graz Away
Feb 2026 SCR Altach 3 - 1 Sturm Graz Home
Oct 2025 SCR Altach 0 - 2 Sturm Graz Away
Nov 2024 SCR Altach 1 - 1 Sturm Graz Draw
Aug 2024 SCR Altach(A) 1 - 2 Sturm Graz Away

In the last 5 meetings, SCR Altach won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

SCR Altach — unbeaten run (home)1
SCR Altach — scoring streak (home)2
Sturm Graz — winless run (away)0
Sturm Graz — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

SCR Altach Win (1)15%
Draw (X)26%
Sturm Graz Win (2)59%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 94%
31% +1.5 63%
13% +2.5 31%
0% +3.5 19%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 6%
69% -1.5 37%
87% -2.5 69%
100% -3.5 81%
100% -4.5 94%

SCR Altach vs Sturm Graz — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

SCR Altach — scored (home)1.31
SCR Altach — conceded (home)0.94
Sturm Graz — scored (away)2.13
Sturm Graz — conceded (away)1.13
Model expected combined goals2.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%
No64%

Rate per Team

SCR Altach — BTTS matches (home)56%
Sturm Graz — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)56%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.591%
Under 4.59%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.588%
Under 6.512%
Over 7.576%
Under 7.524%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.525%
Under 10.575%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

SCR Altach (home)

Corners for4.6
Corners against3.4

Sturm Graz (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

SCR Altach
10 9 11 8 8
Sturm Graz
12 7 13 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

SCR Altach (home)

For1.6

Sturm Graz (away)

For2.7

Shots per Game

SCR Altach — total shots (home)10.9
Sturm Graz — total shots (away)15.4

Shots on Target

SCR Altach — on target (home)3.6
Sturm Graz — on target (away)5.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

SCR Altach

Inside the box6.53
Outside the box3.59

Sturm Graz

Inside the box9.91
Outside the box5.78

Player Shots SCR Altach

P. Greil
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target21%
S. Hrstić
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target8%
O. Diawara
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target11%
M. Ouédraogo
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target3%
M. Mustapha
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Sturm Graz

O. Kiteishvili
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target62%
+1.5 On Target28%
M. Malone
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target21%
M. Johnston
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target0%
L. Grgić
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target13%
T. Horvat
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

SCR Altach xG (home)1.07
Sturm Graz xG (away)1.68

Average Possession

51.63% Possession 53.97%

Team Comparison SCR Altach vs Sturm Graz

73.59% Pass accuracy 75.13%
390.72 Passes per match 388.34
-0.3 Goals prevented 0.11
12.25 Fouls committed 11.59
3.16 Goalkeeper saves 2.59
1.87 Offsides 1.57
17.06 Tackles per match 17.69

League average xG this season is 1.34 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

SCR Altach vs Sturm Graz prediction analysis

Review SCR Altach vs Sturm Graz with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Bundesliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Bundesliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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