Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Serik Spor vs İstanbulspor

Serik Spor vs İstanbulspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2026-01-10 10:30
Serik Spor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
İstanbulspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
50%
X
23%
2
26%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Serik Spor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match2.11
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%

İstanbulspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Serik Spor
LWLDL
İstanbulspor
WWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 37%
21% +2.5 26%
11% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Serik Spor averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while İstanbulspor averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
50%
Draw
23%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jan 2026 Serik Spor 0 - 3 İstanbulspor Away
Aug 2025 Serik Spor(A) 0 - 0 İstanbulspor Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Serik Spor won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Serik Spor — unbeaten run (home)1
Serik Spor — scoring streak (home)4
İstanbulspor — winless run (away)0
İstanbulspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Serik Spor Win (1)50%
Draw (X)23%
İstanbulspor Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 58%
37% +1.5 37%
21% +2.5 26%
11% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 42%
63% -1.5 63%
79% -2.5 74%
89% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Serik Spor vs İstanbulspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Serik Spor — scored (home)1.47
Serik Spor — conceded (home)2.11
İstanbulspor — scored (away)1.32
İstanbulspor — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals3.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Serik Spor — BTTS matches (home)53%
İstanbulspor — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.579%
Under 5.521%
Over 6.574%
Under 6.526%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Serik Spor (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.5

İstanbulspor (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Serik Spor
12 12 6 9 9
İstanbulspor
4 19 6 11 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Serik Spor (home)

For2.4

İstanbulspor (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Serik Spor — total shots (home)10.9
İstanbulspor — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Serik Spor — on target (home)4.0
İstanbulspor — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Serik Spor

Inside the box6.05
Outside the box3.92

İstanbulspor

Inside the box7.55
Outside the box4.13

Player Shots Serik Spor

A. Koç
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Çelenk
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
João Amaral
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Dilli
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Topalli
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots İstanbulspor

Alieu Cham
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target43%
Fahri Kerem Ay
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Sol
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%
Ö. Duymaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target9%
E. Gültekin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Serik Spor xG (home)1.19
İstanbulspor xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

41% Possession 47.97%

Team Comparison Serik Spor vs İstanbulspor

73.16% Pass accuracy 78.5%
325.89 Passes per match 382.74
0 Goals prevented 0
13.05 Fouls committed 11.45
2.63 Goalkeeper saves 2.66
2 Offsides 1.86
16.55 Tackles per match 13.62

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Serik Spor vs İstanbulspor prediction analysis

Review Serik Spor vs İstanbulspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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