Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Serik Spor vs Keçiörengücü

Serik Spor vs Keçiörengücü prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-12-06 10:30
Serik Spor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Keçiörengücü
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
23%
2
32%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Serik Spor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match2.11
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%

Keçiörengücü (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.45
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Serik Spor
LWLDL
Keçiörengücü
LWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 80%
37% +1.5 35%
21% +2.5 25%
11% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 5%
53% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.

Serik Spor averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Keçiörengücü averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
23%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
62%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 Serik Spor(A) 0 - 0 Keçiörengücü Draw
Dec 2025 Serik Spor 1 - 3 Keçiörengücü Away

In the last 2 meetings, Serik Spor won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Serik Spor — unbeaten run (home)1
Serik Spor — scoring streak (home)4
Keçiörengücü — winless run (away)1
Keçiörengücü — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Serik Spor Win (1)45%
Draw (X)23%
Keçiörengücü Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 80%
37% +1.5 35%
21% +2.5 25%
11% +3.5 10%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 20%
63% -1.5 65%
79% -2.5 75%
89% -3.5 90%
100% -4.5 95%

Serik Spor vs Keçiörengücü — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Serik Spor — scored (home)1.47
Serik Spor — conceded (home)2.11
Keçiörengücü — scored (away)1.65
Keçiörengücü — conceded (away)1.45
Model expected combined goals3.18

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

Serik Spor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Keçiörengücü — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)59%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.572%
Under 6.528%
Over 7.557%
Under 7.543%
Over 8.547%
Under 8.553%
Over 9.534%
Under 9.566%
Over 10.524%
Under 10.576%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Serik Spor (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.5

Keçiörengücü (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against3.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Serik Spor
12 12 6 9 9
Keçiörengücü
12 10 13 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Serik Spor (home)

For2.4

Keçiörengücü (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Serik Spor — total shots (home)10.9
Keçiörengücü — total shots (away)11.7

Shots on Target

Serik Spor — on target (home)4.0
Keçiörengücü — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Serik Spor

Inside the box6.05
Outside the box3.92

Keçiörengücü

Inside the box8.62
Outside the box4.67

Player Shots Serik Spor

A. Koç
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Çelenk
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
João Amaral
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Dilli
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Topalli
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots Keçiörengücü

E. Rroca
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Diouf
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target28%
J. Fernándes
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
J. Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target29%
F. Ezeh
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target24%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Serik Spor xG (home)1.19
Keçiörengücü xG (away)2.19

Average Possession

41% Possession 47.69%

Team Comparison Serik Spor vs Keçiörengücü

73.16% Pass accuracy 79.13%
325.89 Passes per match 348.64
0 Goals prevented 0
13.05 Fouls committed 13.28
2.63 Goalkeeper saves 2.44
2 Offsides 2.51
16.55 Tackles per match 15.03

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Serik Spor vs Keçiörengücü prediction analysis

Review Serik Spor vs Keçiörengücü with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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