Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Serik Spor vs Manisa F.K.

Serik Spor vs Manisa F.K. prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-12-13 10:30
Serik Spor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Manisa F.K.
Away

Prediction Summary

1
51%
X
24%
2
26%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Serik Spor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match2.11
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%

Manisa F.K. (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.79
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Serik Spor
LWLDL
Manisa F.K.
WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 74%
37% +1.5 26%
21% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Serik Spor averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Manisa F.K. averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
51%
Draw
24%
Away Win
26%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 Serik Spor(A) 0 - 1 Manisa F.K. Away
Dec 2025 Serik Spor 0 - 1 Manisa F.K. Away

In the last 2 meetings, Serik Spor won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Serik Spor — unbeaten run (home)1
Serik Spor — scoring streak (home)4
Manisa F.K. — winless run (away)1
Manisa F.K. — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Serik Spor Win (1)51%
Draw (X)24%
Manisa F.K. Win (2)26%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 74%
37% +1.5 26%
21% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 26%
63% -1.5 74%
79% -2.5 95%
89% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Serik Spor vs Manisa F.K. — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Serik Spor — scored (home)1.47
Serik Spor — conceded (home)2.11
Manisa F.K. — scored (away)1.11
Manisa F.K. — conceded (away)1.79
Model expected combined goals2.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Serik Spor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Manisa F.K. — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Serik Spor (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.5

Manisa F.K. (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Serik Spor
12 12 6 9 9
Manisa F.K.
10 8 6 13 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Serik Spor (home)

For2.4

Manisa F.K. (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Serik Spor — total shots (home)10.9
Manisa F.K. — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Serik Spor — on target (home)4.0
Manisa F.K. — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Serik Spor

Inside the box6.05
Outside the box3.92

Manisa F.K.

Inside the box6.92
Outside the box4.18

Player Shots Serik Spor

A. Koç
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Çelenk
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
João Amaral
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Dilli
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Topalli
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots Manisa F.K.

Osman Kahraman
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
L. Diony
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target37%
Y. Benrahou
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
B. Süleyman
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%
A. Karapo
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Serik Spor xG (home)1.19
Manisa F.K. xG (away)1.22

Average Possession

41% Possession 45.87%

Team Comparison Serik Spor vs Manisa F.K.

73.16% Pass accuracy 78.26%
325.89 Passes per match 363
0 Goals prevented 0
13.05 Fouls committed 11.45
2.63 Goalkeeper saves 3.38
2 Offsides 1.63
16.55 Tackles per match 15.76

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Serik Spor vs Manisa F.K. prediction analysis

Review Serik Spor vs Manisa F.K. with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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