Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Serik Spor vs Sarıyer

Serik Spor vs Sarıyer prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-11-24 17:00
Serik Spor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Sarıyer
Away

Prediction Summary

1
48%
X
25%
2
27%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Serik Spor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match2.11
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%

Sarıyer (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Serik Spor
LWLDL
Sarıyer
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 47%
37% +1.5 21%
21% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.

Serik Spor averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Sarıyer averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
48%
Draw
25%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 Serik Spor(A) 0 - 3 Sarıyer Away
Nov 2025 Serik Spor 3 - 0 Sarıyer Home

In the last 2 meetings, Serik Spor won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Serik Spor — unbeaten run (home)1
Serik Spor — scoring streak (home)4
Sarıyer — winless run (away)0
Sarıyer — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Serik Spor Win (1)48%
Draw (X)25%
Sarıyer Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 47%
37% +1.5 21%
21% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 53%
63% -1.5 79%
79% -2.5 84%
89% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Serik Spor vs Sarıyer — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Serik Spor — scored (home)1.47
Serik Spor — conceded (home)2.11
Sarıyer — scored (away)0.84
Sarıyer — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.77

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Serik Spor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Sarıyer — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.582%
Under 5.518%
Over 6.569%
Under 6.531%
Over 7.561%
Under 7.539%
Over 8.555%
Under 8.545%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Serik Spor (home)

Corners for3.6
Corners against5.5

Sarıyer (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Serik Spor
12 12 6 9 9
Sarıyer
5 7 6 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Serik Spor (home)

For2.4

Sarıyer (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Serik Spor — total shots (home)10.9
Sarıyer — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Serik Spor — on target (home)4.0
Sarıyer — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Serik Spor

Inside the box6.05
Outside the box3.92

Sarıyer

Inside the box6.84
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Serik Spor

A. Koç
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Çelenk
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
João Amaral
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Dilli
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Topalli
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target23%

Player Shots Sarıyer

A. Urie
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
O. Sol
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Kulašin
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Serik Spor xG (home)1.19
Sarıyer xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

41% Possession 47.79%

Team Comparison Serik Spor vs Sarıyer

73.16% Pass accuracy 80.71%
325.89 Passes per match 384.29
0 Goals prevented 0
13.05 Fouls committed 11.08
2.63 Goalkeeper saves 2.53
2 Offsides 2.4
16.55 Tackles per match 12.89

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Serik Spor vs Sarıyer prediction analysis

Review Serik Spor vs Sarıyer with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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