What markets are included in the Sevilla vs Alaves prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sevilla vs Alaves prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sevilla vs Alaves

Sevilla vs Alaves prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

La Liga 2025-04-20 16:30

Sevilla

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

49%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Alaves

Away

Prediction Summary

38%

26%

36%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Sevilla (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

Alaves (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sevilla

LLWLD

Alaves

DWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 74%

11% +1.5 42%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 49%. Model confidence is Low.

Sevilla averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Alaves averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

38%

Draw

26%

Away Win

36%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Sevilla 1 - 1 Alaves Draw

Dec 2025 Sevilla(A) 0 - 1 Alaves Away

Sep 2025 Sevilla(A) 2 - 1 Alaves Home

Apr 2025 Sevilla 1 - 1 Alaves Draw

Sep 2024 Sevilla(A) 1 - 2 Alaves Away

In the last 5 meetings, Sevilla won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Sevilla — unbeaten run (home)0

Sevilla — scoring streak (home)0

Alaves — winless run (away)0

Alaves — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sevilla Win (1)38%

Draw (X)26%

Alaves Win (2)36%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 74%

11% +1.5 42%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 26%

89% -1.5 58%

100% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Sevilla vs Alaves — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sevilla — scored (home)0.89

Sevilla — conceded (home)1.21

Alaves — scored (away)1.26

Alaves — conceded (away)1.63

Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Sevilla — BTTS matches (home)53%

Alaves — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.585%

Under 5.515%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.553%

Under 8.547%

Over 9.537%

Under 9.563%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sevilla (home)

Corners for5.2

Corners against3.9

Alaves (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sevilla

10 9 6 8 8

Alaves

8 11 13 14 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Sevilla (home)

For3.0

Alaves (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Sevilla — total shots (home)13.5

Alaves — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Sevilla — on target (home)4.1

Alaves — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sevilla

Inside the box7.45

Outside the box5.05

Alaves

Inside the box7.03

Outside the box3.61

Player Shots Sevilla

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Jesús Navas

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Kike Salas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

D. Lukebakio

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target26%

Juanlu Sánchez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Alaves

Manu Sánchez

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target3%

+1.5 On Target3%

Kike García

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target17%

Carlos Vicente

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target8%

Toni Martínez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target11%

Carlos Martín

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sevilla xG (home)1.11

Alaves xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

50.58% Possession 45.26%

Team Comparison Sevilla vs Alaves

81.82% Pass accuracy 73.08%

432.63 Passes per match 341.03

-0.07 Goals prevented 0

13 Fouls committed 16.39

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.29

2.06 Offsides 2.14

17.03 Tackles per match 19.21

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sevilla vs Alaves prediction analysis

Review Sevilla vs Alaves with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights