What markets are included in the Sevilla vs Celta Vigo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sevilla vs Celta Vigo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sevilla vs Celta Vigo

Sevilla vs Celta Vigo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-12-14 17:30

Sevilla

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

56%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Celta Vigo

Away

Prediction Summary

49%

24%

27%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Sevilla (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

Celta Vigo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.42

Goals conceded / match1.89

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate74%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sevilla

LLWLD

Celta Vigo

WLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 89%

11% +1.5 42%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 74%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sevilla averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Celta Vigo averages 1.42 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

49%

Draw

24%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

56%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Sevilla(A) 0 - 1 Celta Vigo Away

Jan 2026 Sevilla 0 - 1 Celta Vigo Away

May 2025 Sevilla(A) 2 - 3 Celta Vigo Away

Dec 2024 Sevilla 1 - 0 Celta Vigo Home

Mar 2024 Sevilla 1 - 2 Celta Vigo Away

In the last 5 meetings, Sevilla won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Sevilla — unbeaten run (home)0

Sevilla — scoring streak (home)0

Celta Vigo — winless run (away)0

Celta Vigo — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sevilla Win (1)49%

Draw (X)24%

Celta Vigo Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 89%

11% +1.5 42%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 11%

89% -1.5 58%

100% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Sevilla vs Celta Vigo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sevilla — scored (home)0.89

Sevilla — conceded (home)1.21

Celta Vigo — scored (away)1.42

Celta Vigo — conceded (away)1.89

Model expected combined goals2.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

Sevilla — BTTS matches (home)53%

Celta Vigo — BTTS matches (away)74%

Combined (simple average)63.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.555%

Under 7.545%

Over 8.548%

Under 8.552%

Over 9.534%

Under 9.566%

Over 10.524%

Under 10.576%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sevilla (home)

Corners for5.2

Corners against3.9

Celta Vigo (away)

Corners for3.4

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sevilla

10 9 6 8 8

Celta Vigo

10 9 15 11 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.589%

Under 2.511%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Sevilla (home)

For3.0

Celta Vigo (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Sevilla — total shots (home)13.5

Celta Vigo — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Sevilla — on target (home)4.1

Celta Vigo — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sevilla

Inside the box7.45

Outside the box5.05

Celta Vigo

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box4.11

Player Shots Sevilla

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Jesús Navas

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Kike Salas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

D. Lukebakio

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target26%

Juanlu Sánchez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Celta Vigo

T. Douvikas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target10%

Borja Iglesias

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target22%

J. Bamba

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

Iago Aspas

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target23%

Alfon González

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sevilla xG (home)1.11

Celta Vigo xG (away)1.44

Average Possession

50.58% Possession 53.71%

Team Comparison Sevilla vs Celta Vigo

81.82% Pass accuracy 84.66%

432.63 Passes per match 517.95

-0.07 Goals prevented -0.14

13 Fouls committed 12.16

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.42

2.06 Offsides 1.86

17.03 Tackles per match 14.68

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sevilla vs Celta Vigo prediction analysis

Review Sevilla vs Celta Vigo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights