Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sevilla vs Espanyol

Sevilla vs Espanyol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-01-25 17:30
Sevilla
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Espanyol
Away

Prediction Summary

1
57%
X
26%
2
17%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sevilla (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Espanyol (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.63
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sevilla
LLWLD
Espanyol
WLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 63%
11% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sevilla averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Espanyol averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
57%
Draw
26%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Sevilla 2 - 1 Espanyol Home
Nov 2025 Sevilla(A) 1 - 2 Espanyol Away
Jan 2025 Sevilla 1 - 1 Espanyol Draw
Oct 2024 Sevilla(A) 2 - 0 Espanyol Home
May 2023 Sevilla 3 - 2 Espanyol Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sevilla won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sevilla — unbeaten run (home)0
Sevilla — scoring streak (home)0
Espanyol — winless run (away)4
Espanyol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sevilla Win (1)57%
Draw (X)26%
Espanyol Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 63%
11% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 37%
89% -1.5 84%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Sevilla vs Espanyol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sevilla — scored (home)0.89
Sevilla — conceded (home)1.21
Espanyol — scored (away)0.89
Espanyol — conceded (away)1.63
Model expected combined goals2.18

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Sevilla — BTTS matches (home)53%
Espanyol — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sevilla (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against3.9

Espanyol (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sevilla
10 9 6 8 8
Espanyol
10 11 6 14 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Sevilla (home)

For3.0

Espanyol (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Sevilla — total shots (home)13.5
Espanyol — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Sevilla — on target (home)4.1
Espanyol — on target (away)2.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sevilla

Inside the box7.45
Outside the box5.05

Espanyol

Inside the box5.79
Outside the box3.58

Player Shots Sevilla

A. Adams
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Jesús Navas
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
Kike Salas
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Lukebakio
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target26%
Juanlu Sánchez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Espanyol

Javi Puado
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
Roberto Fernández
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Véliz
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target4%
Edu Expósito
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target5%
L. Cabrera
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sevilla xG (home)1.11
Espanyol xG (away)0.9

Average Possession

50.58% Possession 39.55%

Team Comparison Sevilla vs Espanyol

81.82% Pass accuracy 76.58%
432.63 Passes per match 328.29
-0.07 Goals prevented -0.04
13 Fouls committed 13.11
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.82
2.06 Offsides 1.74
17.03 Tackles per match 16.84

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sevilla vs Espanyol prediction analysis

Review Sevilla vs Espanyol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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