What markets are included in the Sevilla vs Las Palmas prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sevilla vs Las Palmas prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sevilla vs Las Palmas

Sevilla vs Las Palmas prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-13 19:30

Sevilla

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

46%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Las Palmas

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

27%

33%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

51%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Sevilla (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

Las Palmas (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.68

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sevilla

LLWLD

Las Palmas

LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 63%

11% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Sevilla averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Las Palmas averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

27%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

46%

BTTS Yes

51%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2025 Sevilla 1 - 0 Las Palmas Home

Aug 2024 Sevilla(A) 2 - 2 Las Palmas Draw

Apr 2024 Sevilla(A) 2 - 0 Las Palmas Home

Sep 2023 Sevilla 1 - 0 Las Palmas Home

In the last 4 meetings, Sevilla won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Sevilla — unbeaten run (home)0

Sevilla — scoring streak (home)0

Las Palmas — winless run (away)3

Las Palmas — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sevilla Win (1)40%

Draw (X)27%

Las Palmas Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 63%

11% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 16%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 37%

89% -1.5 79%

100% -2.5 84%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Sevilla vs Las Palmas — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sevilla — scored (home)0.89

Sevilla — conceded (home)1.21

Las Palmas — scored (away)1

Las Palmas — conceded (away)1.68

Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes51%

No49%

Rate per Team

Sevilla — BTTS matches (home)53%

Las Palmas — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)58%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.592%

Under 5.58%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.566%

Under 7.534%

Over 8.558%

Under 8.542%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sevilla (home)

Corners for5.2

Corners against3.9

Las Palmas (away)

Corners for3.2

Corners against6.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sevilla

10 9 6 8 8

Las Palmas

14 16 6 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Sevilla (home)

For3.0

Las Palmas (away)

For3.1

Shots per Game

Sevilla — total shots (home)13.5

Las Palmas — total shots (away)8.5

Shots on Target

Sevilla — on target (home)4.1

Las Palmas — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sevilla

Inside the box7.45

Outside the box5.05

Las Palmas

Inside the box6.5

Outside the box4.37

Player Shots Sevilla

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Jesús Navas

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Kike Salas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

D. Lukebakio

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target26%

Juanlu Sánchez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Las Palmas

Alberto Moleiro

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target14%

Sandro Ramírez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target13%

O. McBurnie

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target29%

+1.5 On Target9%

Kirian Rodríguez

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target10%

Álex Muñoz

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sevilla xG (home)1.11

Las Palmas xG (away)0.94

Average Possession

50.58% Possession 50.95%

Team Comparison Sevilla vs Las Palmas

81.82% Pass accuracy 80.18%

432.63 Passes per match 434.03

-0.07 Goals prevented 0.08

13 Fouls committed 11.89

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.37

2.06 Offsides 1.55

17.03 Tackles per match 16.26

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sevilla vs Las Palmas prediction analysis

Review Sevilla vs Las Palmas with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights