What markets are included in the Sevilla vs Leganes prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sevilla vs Leganes prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sevilla vs Leganes

Sevilla vs Leganes prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

La Liga 2025-05-04 14:15

Sevilla

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

37%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Leganes

Away

Prediction Summary

40%

29%

31%

Under 2.5

63%

BTTS No

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Sevilla (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

Leganes (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84

Goals conceded / match1.53

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sevilla

LLWLD

Leganes

WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 63%

11% +1.5 16%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sevilla averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Leganes averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength

63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

40%

Draw

29%

Away Win

31%

Over 2.5

37%

BTTS Yes

44%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Sevilla 2 - 2 Leganes Draw

Nov 2024 Sevilla(A) 0 - 1 Leganes Away

Jan 2021 Sevilla(A) 1 - 0 Leganes Home

Jun 2020 Sevilla(A) 3 - 0 Leganes Home

Dec 2019 Sevilla 1 - 0 Leganes Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sevilla won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sevilla — unbeaten run (home)0

Sevilla — scoring streak (home)0

Leganes — winless run (away)0

Leganes — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sevilla Win (1)40%

Draw (X)29%

Leganes Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 63%

11% +1.5 16%

0% +2.5 5%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 37%

89% -1.5 84%

100% -2.5 95%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Sevilla vs Leganes — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sevilla — scored (home)0.89

Sevilla — conceded (home)1.21

Leganes — scored (away)0.84

Leganes — conceded (away)1.53

Model expected combined goals2.19

Both Teams To Score

Yes44%

No56%

Rate per Team

Sevilla — BTTS matches (home)53%

Leganes — BTTS matches (away)53%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.598%

Under 5.52%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.576%

Under 7.524%

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.555%

Under 9.545%

Over 10.535%

Under 10.565%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sevilla (home)

Corners for5.2

Corners against3.9

Leganes (away)

Corners for3.3

Corners against7.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sevilla

10 9 6 8 8

Leganes

10 11 9 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Sevilla (home)

For3.0

Leganes (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Sevilla — total shots (home)13.5

Leganes — total shots (away)9.6

Shots on Target

Sevilla — on target (home)4.1

Leganes — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sevilla

Inside the box7.45

Outside the box5.05

Leganes

Inside the box5.03

Outside the box4.24

Player Shots Sevilla

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Jesús Navas

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Kike Salas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

D. Lukebakio

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target26%

Juanlu Sánchez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Leganes

Jorge Sáenz

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target4%

Dani Raba

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target17%

Miguel de la Fuente

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target6%

V. Rosier

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target9%

+1.5 On Target3%

Javi Hernández

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target16%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sevilla xG (home)1.11

Leganes xG (away)0.95

Average Possession

50.58% Possession 42.42%

Team Comparison Sevilla vs Leganes

81.82% Pass accuracy 76%

432.63 Passes per match 354.42

-0.07 Goals prevented -0.01

13 Fouls committed 13.24

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.32

2.06 Offsides 2.21

17.03 Tackles per match 16.66

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sevilla vs Leganes prediction analysis

Review Sevilla vs Leganes with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights