Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sevilla vs Mallorca

Sevilla vs Mallorca prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-02-24 20:00
Sevilla
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Mallorca
Away

Prediction Summary

1
39%
X
29%
2
32%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sevilla (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Mallorca (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sevilla
LLWLD
Mallorca
DLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 53%
11% +1.5 21%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sevilla averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Mallorca averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
39%
Draw
29%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Sevilla(A) 1 - 4 Mallorca Away
Oct 2025 Sevilla 1 - 3 Mallorca Away
Feb 2025 Sevilla 1 - 1 Mallorca Draw
Aug 2024 Sevilla(A) 0 - 0 Mallorca Draw
Apr 2024 Sevilla 2 - 1 Mallorca Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sevilla won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Sevilla — unbeaten run (home)0
Sevilla — scoring streak (home)0
Mallorca — winless run (away)4
Mallorca — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sevilla Win (1)39%
Draw (X)29%
Mallorca Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 53%
11% +1.5 21%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 47%
89% -1.5 79%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Sevilla vs Mallorca — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sevilla — scored (home)0.89
Sevilla — conceded (home)1.21
Mallorca — scored (away)0.79
Mallorca — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals2.22

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%
No55%

Rate per Team

Sevilla — BTTS matches (home)53%
Mallorca — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.568%
Under 7.532%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sevilla (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against3.9

Mallorca (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sevilla
10 9 6 8 8
Mallorca
7 15 26 7 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Sevilla (home)

For3.0

Mallorca (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Sevilla — total shots (home)13.5
Mallorca — total shots (away)9.1

Shots on Target

Sevilla — on target (home)4.1
Mallorca — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sevilla

Inside the box7.45
Outside the box5.05

Mallorca

Inside the box7.37
Outside the box2.82

Player Shots Sevilla

A. Adams
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Jesús Navas
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
Kike Salas
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Lukebakio
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target26%
Juanlu Sánchez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Mallorca

V. Muriqi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target14%
Valery
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Larin
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target9%
Raíllo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target6%
Dani Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sevilla xG (home)1.11
Mallorca xG (away)1.02

Average Possession

50.58% Possession 46.61%

Team Comparison Sevilla vs Mallorca

81.82% Pass accuracy 79.37%
432.63 Passes per match 381.89
-0.07 Goals prevented -0.01
13 Fouls committed 12.26
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.38
2.06 Offsides 2.23
17.03 Tackles per match 15.42

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sevilla vs Mallorca prediction analysis

Review Sevilla vs Mallorca with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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