What markets are included in the Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

La Liga 2024-11-24 15:15

Sevilla

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

28%

Confidence

High

Score

0-0

Rayo Vallecano

Away

Prediction Summary

29%

32%

38%

Under 2.5

72%

BTTS No

64%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Sevilla (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1.21

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate53%

Rayo Vallecano (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sevilla

LLWLD

Rayo Vallecano

DWDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 68%

11% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 28%. Model confidence is High.

Sevilla averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Rayo Vallecano averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength

72%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

29%

Draw

32%

Away Win

38%

Over 2.5

28%

BTTS Yes

36%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Sevilla 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano Draw

Sep 2025 Sevilla(A) 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano Home

Mar 2025 Sevilla(A) 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano Draw

Nov 2024 Sevilla 1 - 0 Rayo Vallecano Home

Feb 2024 Sevilla(A) 2 - 1 Rayo Vallecano Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sevilla won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Sevilla — unbeaten run (home)0

Sevilla — scoring streak (home)0

Rayo Vallecano — winless run (away)0

Rayo Vallecano — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sevilla Win (1)29%

Draw (X)32%

Rayo Vallecano Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 68%

11% +1.5 21%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 32%

89% -1.5 79%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sevilla — scored (home)0.89

Sevilla — conceded (home)1.21

Rayo Vallecano — scored (away)0.89

Rayo Vallecano — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals1.83

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%

No64%

Rate per Team

Sevilla — BTTS matches (home)53%

Rayo Vallecano — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.587%

Under 6.513%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.571%

Under 8.529%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.543%

Under 10.557%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sevilla (home)

Corners for5.2

Corners against3.9

Rayo Vallecano (away)

Corners for4.9

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sevilla

Rayo Vallecano

10 16 17 11 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.589%

Under 2.511%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Sevilla (home)

For3.0

Rayo Vallecano (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Sevilla — total shots (home)13.5

Rayo Vallecano — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Sevilla — on target (home)4.1

Rayo Vallecano — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sevilla

Inside the box7.45

Outside the box5.05

Rayo Vallecano

Inside the box7.68

Outside the box5.87

Player Shots Sevilla

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Jesús Navas

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Kike Salas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

D. Lukebakio

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target26%

Juanlu Sánchez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Rayo Vallecano

Ó. Trejo

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target5%

+1.5 On Target5%

Sergio Camello

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target26%

+1.5 On Target9%

Sergi Guardiola

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

Pep Chavarría

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target6%

+1.5 On Target3%

Álvaro García

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sevilla xG (home)1.11

Rayo Vallecano xG (away)1.2

Average Possession

50.58% Possession 51.68%

Team Comparison Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

81.82% Pass accuracy 79.29%

432.63 Passes per match 420.82

-0.07 Goals prevented 0.06

13 Fouls committed 13.74

2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.95

2.06 Offsides 2.26

17.03 Tackles per match 16.68

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano prediction analysis

Review Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights