Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sevilla vs Real Sociedad

Sevilla vs Real Sociedad prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-11-03 17:30
Sevilla
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
14%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Real Sociedad
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
40%
2
33%
Under 2.5
86%
BTTS No
77%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Sevilla (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Real Sociedad (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate21%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sevilla
LLWLD
Real Sociedad
LWLLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 42%
11% +1.5 26%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 21%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 14%. Model confidence is High.

Sevilla averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Real Sociedad averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
86%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
40%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
14%
BTTS Yes
23%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Sevilla 1 - 0 Real Sociedad Home
Oct 2025 Sevilla(A) 1 - 2 Real Sociedad Away
Mar 2025 Sevilla(A) 1 - 0 Real Sociedad Home
Nov 2024 Sevilla 0 - 2 Real Sociedad Away
Mar 2024 Sevilla 3 - 2 Real Sociedad Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sevilla won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Sevilla — unbeaten run (home)0
Sevilla — scoring streak (home)0
Real Sociedad — winless run (away)4
Real Sociedad — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sevilla Win (1)27%
Draw (X)40%
Real Sociedad Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 42%
11% +1.5 26%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 58%
89% -1.5 74%
100% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Sevilla vs Real Sociedad — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sevilla — scored (home)0.89
Sevilla — conceded (home)1.21
Real Sociedad — scored (away)0.79
Real Sociedad — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals1.3

Both Teams To Score

Yes23%
No77%

Rate per Team

Sevilla — BTTS matches (home)53%
Real Sociedad — BTTS matches (away)21%
Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.555%
Under 9.545%
Over 10.543%
Under 10.557%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sevilla (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against3.9

Real Sociedad (away)

Corners for4.6
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sevilla
10 9 6 8 8
Real Sociedad
10 6 15 11 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Sevilla (home)

For3.0

Real Sociedad (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Sevilla — total shots (home)13.5
Real Sociedad — total shots (away)8.4

Shots on Target

Sevilla — on target (home)4.1
Real Sociedad — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sevilla

Inside the box7.45
Outside the box5.05

Real Sociedad

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box3.47

Player Shots Sevilla

A. Adams
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Jesús Navas
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target7%
Kike Salas
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target6%
D. Lukebakio
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target68%
+1.5 On Target26%
Juanlu Sánchez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Real Sociedad

A. Zakharyan
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
O. Óskarsson
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target4%
Mikel Oyarzabal
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target9%
Barrenetxea
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target7%
S. Becker
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sevilla xG (home)1.11
Real Sociedad xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

50.58% Possession 54.08%

Team Comparison Sevilla vs Real Sociedad

81.82% Pass accuracy 81.21%
432.63 Passes per match 446.97
-0.07 Goals prevented -0.05
13 Fouls committed 13.18
2.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.55
2.06 Offsides 2.16
17.03 Tackles per match 17.05

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sevilla vs Real Sociedad prediction analysis

Review Sevilla vs Real Sociedad with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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