Prediction Analysis: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Stade Brestois 29
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Shakhtar Donetsk
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
71%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
Stade Brestois 29
Away
Prediction Summary
1
16%
X
18%
2
66%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
High
Market Evidence
Shakhtar Donetsk (Home)
Goals scored / match1.25
Goals conceded / match2.25
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%
Stade Brestois 29 (Away)
Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match2.6
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate20%
Team Form last 5 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
LWLLW
Stade Brestois 29
LLLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
75%
+0.5
40%
50%
+1.5
40%
0%
+2.5
20%
0%
+3.5
20%
0%
+4.5
0%
50%
BTTS
20%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 71%. Model confidence is High.
Shakhtar Donetsk averages 1.25 goals scored at home, while Stade Brestois 29 averages 1.2 goals scored away.
Model Strength
71%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
16%
Draw
18%
Away Win
66%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
63%
Head-to-Head last 1
Jan 2025
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 - 0
Stade Brestois 29
Home
In the last 1 meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk won 1, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Shakhtar Donetsk — unbeaten run (home)1
Shakhtar Donetsk — scoring streak (home)3
Stade Brestois 29 — winless run (away)3
Stade Brestois 29 — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Shakhtar Donetsk Win (1)16%
Draw (X)18%
Stade Brestois 29 Win (2)66%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
75%
+0.5
40%
50%
+1.5
40%
0%
+2.5
20%
0%
+3.5
20%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
25%
-0.5
60%
50%
-1.5
60%
100%
-2.5
80%
100%
-3.5
80%
100%
-4.5
100%
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Stade Brestois 29 — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Shakhtar Donetsk — scored (home)1.25
Shakhtar Donetsk — conceded (home)2.25
Stade Brestois 29 — scored (away)1.2
Stade Brestois 29 — conceded (away)2.6
Model expected combined goals3.67
Both Teams To Score
Yes63%
No37%
Rate per Team
Shakhtar Donetsk — BTTS matches (home)50%
Stade Brestois 29 — BTTS matches (away)20%
Combined (simple average)35%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.580%
Under 4.520%
Over 5.580%
Under 5.520%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.558%
Under 7.542%
Over 8.545%
Under 8.555%
Over 9.513%
Under 9.587%
Over 10.513%
Under 10.587%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.70
Per-Team Corners own matches
Shakhtar Donetsk (home)
Corners for4.8
Corners against4.0
Stade Brestois 29 (away)
Corners for3.0
Corners against3.6
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Shakhtar Donetsk
11
17
9
7
7
Stade Brestois 29
12
7
7
9
9
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.558%
Under 2.542%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2
Yellow Cards per Team
Shakhtar Donetsk (home)
For1.3
Stade Brestois 29 (away)
For2.0
Shots per Game
Shakhtar Donetsk — total shots (home)11.0
Stade Brestois 29 — total shots (away)11.2
Shots on Target
Shakhtar Donetsk — on target (home)3.8
Stade Brestois 29 — on target (away)4.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Shakhtar Donetsk
Inside the box5.5
Outside the box4
Stade Brestois 29
Inside the box7.8
Outside the box5.3
Player Shots Shakhtar Donetsk
D. Sikan
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
Eguinaldo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
Kevin
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
H. Sudakov
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
O. Zubkov
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Player Shots Stade Brestois 29
E. Fernandes
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target10%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Martin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
A. Sima
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
L. Ajorque
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
K. Doumbia
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target10%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Shakhtar Donetsk xG (home)1.06
Stade Brestois 29 xG (away)1.15
Average Possession
44.88%
Possession
41.7%
Team Comparison Shakhtar Donetsk vs Stade Brestois 29
82.63%
Pass accuracy
78.4%
426.38
Passes per match
377.4
0.3
Goals prevented
0.3
10.63
Fouls committed
11.3
4.88
Goalkeeper saves
3.2
1.25
Offsides
1.4
16
Tackles per match
18.8
League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction analysis
Review Shakhtar Donetsk vs Stade Brestois 29 with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights