Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sheffield Utd vs Norwich

Sheffield Utd vs Norwich prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-09 19:45
Sheffield Utd
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Norwich
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
26%
2
31%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Sheffield Utd (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate30%
BTTS rate70%

Norwich (Away)

Goals scored / match1.57
Goals conceded / match1.22
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sheffield Utd
WLLWW
Norwich
LDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 87%
43% +1.5 43%
30% +2.5 13%
4% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 4%
70% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Sheffield Utd averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Norwich averages 1.57 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
26%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Sheffield Utd(A) 1 - 2 Norwich Away
Dec 2025 Sheffield Utd 1 - 1 Norwich Draw
Jan 2025 Sheffield Utd 2 - 0 Norwich Home
Aug 2024 Sheffield Utd(A) 1 - 1 Norwich Draw
Apr 2023 Sheffield Utd(A) 1 - 0 Norwich Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sheffield Utd won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sheffield Utd — unbeaten run (home)0
Sheffield Utd — scoring streak (home)16
Norwich — winless run (away)1
Norwich — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sheffield Utd Win (1)43%
Draw (X)26%
Norwich Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 87%
43% +1.5 43%
30% +2.5 13%
4% +3.5 9%
0% +4.5 4%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 13%
57% -1.5 57%
70% -2.5 87%
96% -3.5 91%
100% -4.5 96%

Sheffield Utd vs Norwich — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sheffield Utd — scored (home)1.65
Sheffield Utd — conceded (home)1.43
Norwich — scored (away)1.57
Norwich — conceded (away)1.22
Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Sheffield Utd — BTTS matches (home)70%
Norwich — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)67.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.598%
Under 5.52%
Over 6.591%
Under 6.59%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.572%
Under 8.528%
Over 9.563%
Under 9.537%
Over 10.555%
Under 10.545%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sheffield Utd (home)

Corners for7.5
Corners against4.2

Norwich (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sheffield Utd
19 13 6 15 10
Norwich
14 12 7 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.581%
Under 2.519%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Sheffield Utd (home)

For1.5

Norwich (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Sheffield Utd — total shots (home)15.4
Norwich — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Sheffield Utd — on target (home)4.8
Norwich — on target (away)4.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sheffield Utd

Inside the box9.07
Outside the box4.33

Norwich

Inside the box8
Outside the box4.57

Player Shots Sheffield Utd

P. Bamford
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target25%
G. Hamer
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. O'Hare
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%
T. Cannon
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Brooks
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Norwich

M. Touré
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
A. Ben Slimane
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target27%
J. Sargent
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
J. Makama
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target14%
P. Maghoma
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sheffield Utd xG (home)1.57
Norwich xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

52.33% Possession 53.63%

Team Comparison Sheffield Utd vs Norwich

76.57% Pass accuracy 79.24%
415.35 Passes per match 435.28
-0.12 Goals prevented 0.13
10.59 Fouls committed 10.2
2.76 Goalkeeper saves 2.61
2.04 Offsides 1.93
15.43 Tackles per match 16.72

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sheffield Utd vs Norwich prediction analysis

Review Sheffield Utd vs Norwich with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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