Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sheffield Utd vs Portsmouth

Sheffield Utd vs Portsmouth prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-26 19:45
Sheffield Utd
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
40%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Portsmouth
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
28%
2
39%
Under 2.5
60%
BTTS No
54%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sheffield Utd (Home)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate30%
BTTS rate70%

Portsmouth (Away)

Goals scored / match1.04
Goals conceded / match1.78
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sheffield Utd
WLLWW
Portsmouth
DWLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

87% +0.5 74%
43% +1.5 17%
30% +2.5 13%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
70% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sheffield Utd averages 1.65 goals scored at home, while Portsmouth averages 1.04 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
28%
Away Win
39%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Yes
46%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 Sheffield Utd(A) 1 - 0 Portsmouth Home
Nov 2025 Sheffield Utd 3 - 0 Portsmouth Home
Feb 2025 Sheffield Utd 2 - 1 Portsmouth Home
Sep 2024 Sheffield Utd(A) 0 - 0 Portsmouth Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Sheffield Utd won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Sheffield Utd — unbeaten run (home)0
Sheffield Utd — scoring streak (home)16
Portsmouth — winless run (away)0
Portsmouth — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sheffield Utd Win (1)32%
Draw (X)28%
Portsmouth Win (2)39%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

87% +0.5 74%
43% +1.5 17%
30% +2.5 13%
4% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

13% -0.5 26%
57% -1.5 83%
70% -2.5 87%
96% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Sheffield Utd vs Portsmouth — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sheffield Utd — scored (home)1.65
Sheffield Utd — conceded (home)1.43
Portsmouth — scored (away)1.04
Portsmouth — conceded (away)1.78
Model expected combined goals2.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%
No54%

Rate per Team

Sheffield Utd — BTTS matches (home)70%
Portsmouth — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)65.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.596%
Under 4.54%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.581%
Under 8.519%
Over 9.565%
Under 9.535%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sheffield Utd (home)

Corners for7.5
Corners against4.2

Portsmouth (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sheffield Utd
19 13 6 15 10
Portsmouth
10 12 3 9 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.585%
Under 1.515%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Sheffield Utd (home)

For1.5

Portsmouth (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Sheffield Utd — total shots (home)15.4
Portsmouth — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Sheffield Utd — on target (home)4.8
Portsmouth — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sheffield Utd

Inside the box9.07
Outside the box4.33

Portsmouth

Inside the box7.93
Outside the box4.26

Player Shots Sheffield Utd

P. Bamford
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target25%
G. Hamer
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. O'Hare
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%
T. Cannon
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Brooks
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Portsmouth

J. Murphy
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Lang
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Kirk
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Bianchini
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target30%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Alli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sheffield Utd xG (home)1.57
Portsmouth xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

52.33% Possession 50.43%

Team Comparison Sheffield Utd vs Portsmouth

76.57% Pass accuracy 73.96%
415.35 Passes per match 370.83
-0.12 Goals prevented -0.09
10.59 Fouls committed 10.15
2.76 Goalkeeper saves 2.6
2.04 Offsides 1.77
15.43 Tackles per match 13.7

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sheffield Utd vs Portsmouth prediction analysis

Review Sheffield Utd vs Portsmouth with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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