Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sheffield Wednesday vs Sheffield Utd

Sheffield Wednesday vs Sheffield Utd prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-11-23 12:00
Sheffield Wednesday
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
50%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Sheffield Utd
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
25%
2
47%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Sheffield Wednesday (Home)

Goals scored / match0.61
Goals conceded / match1.91
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate48%

Sheffield Utd (Away)

Goals scored / match1.22
Goals conceded / match1.43
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate43%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sheffield Wednesday
WLLDD
Sheffield Utd
WLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

48% +0.5 65%
13% +1.5 39%
0% +2.5 17%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
48% BTTS 43%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Sheffield Wednesday averages 0.61 goals scored at home, while Sheffield Utd averages 1.22 goals scored away.

Model Strength
53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
25%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2026 Sheffield Wednesday(A) 1 - 2 Sheffield Utd Away
Nov 2025 Sheffield Wednesday 0 - 3 Sheffield Utd Away
Mar 2025 Sheffield Wednesday 0 - 1 Sheffield Utd Away
Nov 2024 Sheffield Wednesday(A) 0 - 1 Sheffield Utd Away

In the last 4 meetings, Sheffield Wednesday won 0, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Sheffield Wednesday — unbeaten run (home)3
Sheffield Wednesday — scoring streak (home)3
Sheffield Utd — winless run (away)0
Sheffield Utd — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sheffield Wednesday Win (1)27%
Draw (X)25%
Sheffield Utd Win (2)47%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

48% +0.5 65%
13% +1.5 39%
0% +2.5 17%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

52% -0.5 35%
87% -1.5 61%
100% -2.5 83%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Sheffield Wednesday vs Sheffield Utd — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sheffield Wednesday — scored (home)0.61
Sheffield Wednesday — conceded (home)1.91
Sheffield Utd — scored (away)1.22
Sheffield Utd — conceded (away)1.43
Model expected combined goals2.69

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Sheffield Wednesday — BTTS matches (home)48%
Sheffield Utd — BTTS matches (away)43%
Combined (simple average)45.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.596%
Under 5.54%
Over 6.589%
Under 6.511%
Over 7.585%
Under 7.515%
Over 8.574%
Under 8.526%
Over 9.566%
Under 9.534%
Over 10.559%
Under 10.541%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sheffield Wednesday (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.7

Sheffield Utd (away)

Corners for5.7
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sheffield Wednesday
9 9 10 8 7
Sheffield Utd
19 13 6 15 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Sheffield Wednesday (home)

For1.8

Sheffield Utd (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Sheffield Wednesday — total shots (home)9.3
Sheffield Utd — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Sheffield Wednesday — on target (home)2.5
Sheffield Utd — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sheffield Wednesday

Inside the box5.93
Outside the box2.74

Sheffield Utd

Inside the box9.07
Outside the box4.33

Player Shots Sheffield Wednesday

B. Cadamarteri
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target3%
G. Brown
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
B. Bannan
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target11%
J. Lowe
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Yates
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Sheffield Utd

P. Bamford
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target82%
+1.5 On Target25%
G. Hamer
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target11%
C. O'Hare
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target7%
T. Cannon
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Brooks
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sheffield Wednesday xG (home)0.85
Sheffield Utd xG (away)1.57

Average Possession

44.85% Possession 52.33%

Team Comparison Sheffield Wednesday vs Sheffield Utd

72.83% Pass accuracy 76.57%
360.35 Passes per match 415.35
0.08 Goals prevented -0.12
11.8 Fouls committed 10.59
3.91 Goalkeeper saves 2.76
1.3 Offsides 2.04
16.37 Tackles per match 15.43

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sheffield Wednesday vs Sheffield Utd prediction analysis

Review Sheffield Wednesday vs Sheffield Utd with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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