Prediction Analysis: Shkendija vs Qarabag
Shkendija vs Qarabag prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Shkendija
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Qarabag
Away
Prediction Summary
1
47%
X
25%
2
28%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Shkendija (Home)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match0.67
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate33%
Qarabag (Away)
Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match2.13
Over 2.5 rate38%
BTTS rate50%
Team Form last 5 matches
Shkendija
LLWWW
Qarabag
LLLWL
Goals Comparison rate per team
67%
+0.5
75%
33%
+1.5
50%
0%
+2.5
38%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
33%
BTTS
50%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Low.
Shkendija averages 1 goals scored at home, while Qarabag averages 1.63 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
47%
Draw
25%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
Head-to-Head last 2
Aug 2025
Shkendija(A)
1 - 5
Qarabag
Away
Aug 2025
Shkendija
0 - 1
Qarabag
Away
In the last 2 meetings, Shkendija won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Shkendija — unbeaten run (home)0
Shkendija — scoring streak (home)0
Qarabag — winless run (away)4
Qarabag — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Shkendija Win (1)47%
Draw (X)25%
Qarabag Win (2)28%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
67%
+0.5
75%
33%
+1.5
50%
0%
+2.5
38%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
33%
-0.5
25%
67%
-1.5
50%
100%
-2.5
62%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
Shkendija vs Qarabag — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Shkendija — scored (home)1
Shkendija — conceded (home)0.67
Qarabag — scored (away)1.63
Qarabag — conceded (away)2.13
Model expected combined goals2.71
Both Teams To Score
Yes54%
No46%
Rate per Team
Shkendija — BTTS matches (home)33%
Qarabag — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)41.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.550%
Under 4.550%
Over 5.550%
Under 5.550%
Over 6.550%
Under 6.550%
Over 7.542%
Under 7.558%
Over 8.542%
Under 8.558%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.50
Per-Team Corners own matches
Shkendija (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Qarabag (away)
Corners for3.3
Corners against8.2
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Qarabag
10
8
15
14
15
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.534%
Under 0.566%
Over 1.517%
Under 1.583%
Over 2.517%
Under 2.583%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)1.5
Yellow Cards per Team
Shkendija (home)
For—
Qarabag (away)
For1.3
Shots per Game
Shkendija — total shots (home)—
Qarabag — total shots (away)9.8
Shots on Target
Shkendija — on target (home)—
Qarabag — on target (away)3.8
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Shkendija
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Qarabag
Inside the box6.25
Outside the box4.08
Player Shots Shkendija
Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.
Player Shots Qarabag
C. Durán
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
Leandro Andrade
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target0%
O. Kashchuk
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target0%
E. Addai
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
Joni Montiel
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Shkendija xG (home)-
Qarabag xG (away)1.09
Average Possession
-%
Possession
45.25%
Team Comparison Shkendija vs Qarabag
0%
Pass accuracy
80.33%
-
Passes per match
389.08
-
Goals prevented
-0.34
-
Fouls committed
7.17
-
Goalkeeper saves
4.08
-
Offsides
1.25
-
Tackles per match
14.58
League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Shkendija vs Qarabag prediction analysis
Review Shkendija vs Qarabag with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights