Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sivasspor vs Adana Demirspor

Sivasspor vs Adana Demirspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-09-25 14:00
Sivasspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Adana Demirspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
65%
X
19%
2
16%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sivasspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%

Adana Demirspor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.32
Goals conceded / match4.63
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate26%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sivasspor
LWLLW
Adana Demirspor
LLLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 26%
32% +1.5 5%
21% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 26%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sivasspor averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Adana Demirspor averages 0.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength
65%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
65%
Draw
19%
Away Win
16%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Sivasspor(A) 1 - 1 Adana Demirspor Draw
Sep 2025 Sivasspor 5 - 0 Adana Demirspor Home
Mar 2025 Sivasspor 5 - 1 Adana Demirspor Home
Oct 2024 Sivasspor(A) 4 - 2 Adana Demirspor Home
Mar 2024 Sivasspor(A) 1 - 4 Adana Demirspor Away

In the last 5 meetings, Sivasspor won 3, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sivasspor — unbeaten run (home)1
Sivasspor — scoring streak (home)4
Adana Demirspor — winless run (away)19
Adana Demirspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sivasspor Win (1)65%
Draw (X)19%
Adana Demirspor Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 26%
32% +1.5 5%
21% +2.5 0%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 74%
68% -1.5 95%
79% -2.5 100%
89% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Sivasspor vs Adana Demirspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sivasspor — scored (home)1.47
Sivasspor — conceded (home)1.05
Adana Demirspor — scored (away)0.32
Adana Demirspor — conceded (away)4.63
Model expected combined goals3.26

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Sivasspor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Adana Demirspor — BTTS matches (away)26%
Combined (simple average)39.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sivasspor (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.0

Adana Demirspor (away)

Corners for1.3
Corners against8.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sivasspor
2 19 12 9 13
Adana Demirspor
4 5 7 14 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.590%
Under 0.510%
Over 1.582%
Under 1.518%
Over 2.563%
Under 2.537%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Sivasspor (home)

For2.3

Adana Demirspor (away)

For1.1

Shots per Game

Sivasspor — total shots (home)12.9
Adana Demirspor — total shots (away)4.8

Shots on Target

Sivasspor — on target (home)4.4
Adana Demirspor — on target (away)2.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sivasspor

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.86

Adana Demirspor

Inside the box2.39
Outside the box3.71

Player Shots Sivasspor

Luan Campos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Manaj
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
T. Böke
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Ethemi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Fidan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Adana Demirspor

S. Kavrazlı
Shots on Target/Game2.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target31%
Sefa Gülay
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Bolat
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
Gokdeniz Tunc
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target3%
Ahmet Yilmaz
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sivasspor xG (home)1.25
Adana Demirspor xG (away)0.51

Average Possession

50.24% Possession 37.5%

Team Comparison Sivasspor vs Adana Demirspor

79.59% Pass accuracy 75.16%
374.54 Passes per match 301.03
0 Goals prevented 0
11.57 Fouls committed 8.47
2.36 Goalkeeper saves 4.53
2.68 Offsides 0.95
14.32 Tackles per match 14.55

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sivasspor vs Adana Demirspor prediction analysis

Review Sivasspor vs Adana Demirspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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