Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sivasspor vs Erzurumspor FK

Sivasspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2026-01-11 13:00
Sivasspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Erzurumspor FK
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
28%
2
32%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sivasspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%

Erzurumspor FK (Away)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sivasspor
LWLLW
Erzurumspor FK
DDDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 95%
32% +1.5 53%
21% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sivasspor averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Erzurumspor FK averages 1.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
28%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 4

Jan 2026 Sivasspor 0 - 2 Erzurumspor FK Away
Aug 2025 Sivasspor(A) 0 - 2 Erzurumspor FK Away
Feb 2021 Sivasspor 0 - 0 Erzurumspor FK Draw
Sep 2020 Sivasspor(A) 2 - 1 Erzurumspor FK Home

In the last 4 meetings, Sivasspor won 1, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Sivasspor — unbeaten run (home)1
Sivasspor — scoring streak (home)4
Erzurumspor FK — winless run (away)2
Erzurumspor FK — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sivasspor Win (1)40%
Draw (X)28%
Erzurumspor FK Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 95%
32% +1.5 53%
21% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 5%
68% -1.5 47%
79% -2.5 84%
89% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Sivasspor vs Erzurumspor FK — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sivasspor — scored (home)1.47
Sivasspor — conceded (home)1.05
Erzurumspor FK — scored (away)1.63
Erzurumspor FK — conceded (away)0.79
Model expected combined goals2.39

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Sivasspor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Erzurumspor FK — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sivasspor (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.0

Erzurumspor FK (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sivasspor
2 19 12 9 13
Erzurumspor FK
4 8 7 9 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Sivasspor (home)

For2.3

Erzurumspor FK (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Sivasspor — total shots (home)12.9
Erzurumspor FK — total shots (away)10.3

Shots on Target

Sivasspor — on target (home)4.4
Erzurumspor FK — on target (away)3.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sivasspor

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.86

Erzurumspor FK

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box3.74

Player Shots Sivasspor

Luan Campos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Manaj
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
T. Böke
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Ethemi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Fidan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Erzurumspor FK

E. Tozlu
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target35%
Burak Böyüksünnetci
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
A. Kabak
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
M. Yumlu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target16%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Fettahoğlu
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sivasspor xG (home)1.25
Erzurumspor FK xG (away)1.76

Average Possession

50.24% Possession 55.5%

Team Comparison Sivasspor vs Erzurumspor FK

79.59% Pass accuracy 85.16%
374.54 Passes per match 469.89
0 Goals prevented 0
11.57 Fouls committed 10.71
2.36 Goalkeeper saves 2
2.68 Offsides 2.17
14.32 Tackles per match 13.39

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sivasspor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction analysis

Review Sivasspor vs Erzurumspor FK with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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