Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor

Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2026-08-09 16:00
Sivasspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Esenler Erokspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
24%
2
47%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sivasspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%

Esenler Erokspor (Away)

Goals scored / match2.21
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sivasspor
LWLLW
Esenler Erokspor
LDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 79%
32% +1.5 58%
21% +2.5 47%
11% +3.5 26%
5% +4.5 11%
53% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sivasspor averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Esenler Erokspor averages 2.21 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
24%
Away Win
47%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Sivasspor 1 - 3 Esenler Erokspor Away
Nov 2025 Sivasspor(A) 1 - 2 Esenler Erokspor Away
Dec 2022 Sivasspor 5 - 2 Esenler Erokspor Home
Dec 2019 Sivasspor 0 - 1 Esenler Erokspor Away
Dec 2019 Sivasspor(A) 2 - 0 Esenler Erokspor Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sivasspor won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Sivasspor — unbeaten run (home)1
Sivasspor — scoring streak (home)4
Esenler Erokspor — winless run (away)1
Esenler Erokspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sivasspor Win (1)28%
Draw (X)24%
Esenler Erokspor Win (2)47%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 79%
32% +1.5 58%
21% +2.5 47%
11% +3.5 26%
5% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 21%
68% -1.5 42%
79% -2.5 53%
89% -3.5 74%
95% -4.5 89%

Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sivasspor — scored (home)1.47
Sivasspor — conceded (home)1.05
Esenler Erokspor — scored (away)2.21
Esenler Erokspor — conceded (away)0.95
Model expected combined goals2.84

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%
No44%

Rate per Team

Sivasspor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Esenler Erokspor — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.548%
Under 8.552%
Over 9.538%
Under 9.562%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (model prediction)8.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sivasspor (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.0

Esenler Erokspor (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against3.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sivasspor
2 19 12 9 13
Esenler Erokspor
8 10 11 7 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.589%
Under 2.511%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Sivasspor (home)

For2.3

Esenler Erokspor (away)

For2.4

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.559%
Under 19.541%
Over 22.545%
Under 22.555%
Over 25.533%
Under 25.567%
Expected total shots22.39

Sivasspor

Shots Over 9.561%
Shots Over 11.545%
Shots Over 13.531%
Expected shots11.49
On Target Over 3.552%
On Target Over 4.537%
On Target Over 5.525%
Expected on target4.02

Esenler Erokspor

Shots Over 9.557%
Shots Over 11.541%
Shots Over 13.527%
Expected shots10.90
On Target Over 3.550%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target3.87

Shots per Game

Sivasspor — total shots (home)12.9
Esenler Erokspor — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Sivasspor — on target (home)4.4
Esenler Erokspor — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sivasspor

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.86

Esenler Erokspor

Inside the box8.54
Outside the box4.15

Player Shots Sivasspor

Luan Campos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Manaj
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
T. Böke
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Ethemi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Fidan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Esenler Erokspor

O. Kayode
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target26%
Ö. Beyaz
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Jack
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%
E. Gedik
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
G. Kanga
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sivasspor xG (home)1.25
Esenler Erokspor xG (away)1.6

Average Possession

50.24% Possession 57.9%

Team Comparison Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor

79.59% Pass accuracy 83.72%
374.54 Passes per match 464.79
0 Goals prevented 0
11.57 Fouls committed 10.67
2.36 Goalkeeper saves 1.64
2.68 Offsides 1.95
14.32 Tackles per match 13.03

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor prediction analysis

Review Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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