Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sivasspor vs Hatayspor

Sivasspor vs Hatayspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-10-24 17:00
Sivasspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
60%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Hatayspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
78%
X
15%
2
7%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Sivasspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%

Hatayspor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match3.16
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sivasspor
LWLLW
Hatayspor
WLDLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 58%
32% +1.5 16%
21% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is High.

Sivasspor averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Hatayspor averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
78%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
78%
Draw
15%
Away Win
7%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Sivasspor(A) 2 - 1 Hatayspor Home
Oct 2025 Sivasspor 1 - 1 Hatayspor Draw
Mar 2025 Sivasspor(A) 2 - 3 Hatayspor Away
Oct 2024 Sivasspor 3 - 2 Hatayspor Home
Feb 2024 Sivasspor(A) 1 - 1 Hatayspor Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Sivasspor won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sivasspor — unbeaten run (home)1
Sivasspor — scoring streak (home)4
Hatayspor — winless run (away)19
Hatayspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sivasspor Win (1)78%
Draw (X)15%
Hatayspor Win (2)7%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 58%
32% +1.5 16%
21% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 42%
68% -1.5 84%
79% -2.5 95%
89% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Sivasspor vs Hatayspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sivasspor — scored (home)1.47
Sivasspor — conceded (home)1.05
Hatayspor — scored (away)0.79
Hatayspor — conceded (away)3.16
Model expected combined goals3.1

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Sivasspor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Hatayspor — BTTS matches (away)58%
Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.592%
Under 4.58%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.590%
Under 6.510%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.534%
Under 9.566%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sivasspor (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.0

Hatayspor (away)

Corners for2.7
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sivasspor
2 19 12 9 13
Hatayspor
4 7 4 9 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Sivasspor (home)

For2.3

Hatayspor (away)

For3.3

Shots per Game

Sivasspor — total shots (home)12.9
Hatayspor — total shots (away)6.9

Shots on Target

Sivasspor — on target (home)4.4
Hatayspor — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sivasspor

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.86

Hatayspor

Inside the box4.34
Outside the box3.21

Player Shots Sivasspor

Luan Campos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Manaj
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
T. Böke
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Ethemi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Fidan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Hatayspor

J. Okoronkwo
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target43%
Ü. Durmuşhan
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target9%
F. Bamgboye
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Chaadaev
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target11%
Deniz Aksoy
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target12%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sivasspor xG (home)1.25
Hatayspor xG (away)0.88

Average Possession

50.24% Possession 45.97%

Team Comparison Sivasspor vs Hatayspor

79.59% Pass accuracy 77.74%
374.54 Passes per match 352.79
0 Goals prevented 0
11.57 Fouls committed 12.61
2.36 Goalkeeper saves 4.05
2.68 Offsides 2.03
14.32 Tackles per match 14.41

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sivasspor vs Hatayspor prediction analysis

Review Sivasspor vs Hatayspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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