Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sivasspor vs Sarıyer

Sivasspor vs Sarıyer prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-09-13 16:00
Sivasspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Sarıyer
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
26%
2
24%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sivasspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%

Sarıyer (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.47
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sivasspor
LWLLW
Sarıyer
WWLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 47%
32% +1.5 21%
21% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sivasspor averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Sarıyer averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
26%
Away Win
24%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2026 Sivasspor(A) 0 - 1 Sarıyer Away
Sep 2025 Sivasspor 1 - 0 Sarıyer Home

In the last 2 meetings, Sivasspor won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sivasspor — unbeaten run (home)1
Sivasspor — scoring streak (home)4
Sarıyer — winless run (away)0
Sarıyer — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sivasspor Win (1)49%
Draw (X)26%
Sarıyer Win (2)24%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 47%
32% +1.5 21%
21% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 53%
68% -1.5 79%
79% -2.5 84%
89% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Sivasspor vs Sarıyer — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sivasspor — scored (home)1.47
Sivasspor — conceded (home)1.05
Sarıyer — scored (away)0.84
Sarıyer — conceded (away)1.47
Model expected combined goals2.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Sivasspor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Sarıyer — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.564%
Under 7.536%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sivasspor (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.0

Sarıyer (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sivasspor
2 19 12 9 13
Sarıyer
5 7 6 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.589%
Under 1.511%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Sivasspor (home)

For2.3

Sarıyer (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Sivasspor — total shots (home)12.9
Sarıyer — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Sivasspor — on target (home)4.4
Sarıyer — on target (away)3.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sivasspor

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.86

Sarıyer

Inside the box6.84
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Sivasspor

Luan Campos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Manaj
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
T. Böke
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Ethemi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Fidan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Sarıyer

A. Urie
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
O. Sol
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
E. Kulašin
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
M. Dembélé
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target24%
E. Eze
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target19%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sivasspor xG (home)1.25
Sarıyer xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

50.24% Possession 47.79%

Team Comparison Sivasspor vs Sarıyer

79.59% Pass accuracy 80.71%
374.54 Passes per match 384.29
0 Goals prevented 0
11.57 Fouls committed 11.08
2.36 Goalkeeper saves 2.53
2.68 Offsides 2.4
14.32 Tackles per match 12.89

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sivasspor vs Sarıyer prediction analysis

Review Sivasspor vs Sarıyer with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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