Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sivasspor vs Serik Spor

Sivasspor vs Serik Spor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-10-05 13:00
Sivasspor
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Serik Spor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
73%
X
19%
2
9%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS No
64%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Sivasspor (Home)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate21%
BTTS rate53%

Serik Spor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.84
Goals conceded / match1.84
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sivasspor
LWLLW
Serik Spor
LWLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 42%
32% +1.5 21%
21% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is High.

Sivasspor averages 1.47 goals scored at home, while Serik Spor averages 0.84 goals scored away.

Model Strength
73%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
73%
Draw
19%
Away Win
9%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
36%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Sivasspor(A) 1 - 0 Serik Spor Home
Oct 2025 Sivasspor 0 - 0 Serik Spor Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Sivasspor won 1, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Sivasspor — unbeaten run (home)1
Sivasspor — scoring streak (home)4
Serik Spor — winless run (away)4
Serik Spor — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sivasspor Win (1)73%
Draw (X)19%
Serik Spor Win (2)9%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 42%
32% +1.5 21%
21% +2.5 16%
11% +3.5 5%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 58%
68% -1.5 79%
79% -2.5 84%
89% -3.5 95%
95% -4.5 100%

Sivasspor vs Serik Spor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sivasspor — scored (home)1.47
Sivasspor — conceded (home)1.05
Serik Spor — scored (away)0.84
Serik Spor — conceded (away)1.84
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes36%
No64%

Rate per Team

Sivasspor — BTTS matches (home)53%
Serik Spor — BTTS matches (away)32%
Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.542%
Under 9.558%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sivasspor (home)

Corners for5.8
Corners against4.0

Serik Spor (away)

Corners for3.3
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sivasspor
2 19 12 9 13
Serik Spor
12 12 6 9 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Sivasspor (home)

For2.3

Serik Spor (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Sivasspor — total shots (home)12.9
Serik Spor — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Sivasspor — on target (home)4.4
Serik Spor — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sivasspor

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.86

Serik Spor

Inside the box6.05
Outside the box3.92

Player Shots Sivasspor

Luan Campos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
R. Manaj
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
T. Böke
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target11%
V. Ethemi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target17%
K. Fidan
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots Serik Spor

A. Koç
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target13%
E. Çelenk
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
João Amaral
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Dilli
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target4%
J. Topalli
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target69%
+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sivasspor xG (home)1.25
Serik Spor xG (away)1.19

Average Possession

50.24% Possession 41%

Team Comparison Sivasspor vs Serik Spor

79.59% Pass accuracy 73.16%
374.54 Passes per match 325.89
0 Goals prevented 0
11.57 Fouls committed 13.05
2.36 Goalkeeper saves 2.63
2.68 Offsides 2
14.32 Tackles per match 16.55

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sivasspor vs Serik Spor prediction analysis

Review Sivasspor vs Serik Spor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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