Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Slavia Praha vs Malmo FF

Slavia Praha vs Malmo FF prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-01-30 20:00
Slavia Praha
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Malmo FF
Away

Prediction Summary

1
42%
X
23%
2
35%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Slavia Praha (Home)

Goals scored / match1.25
Goals conceded / match1.75
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Malmo FF (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match2.25
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Team Form last 5 matches

Slavia Praha
DLLLL
Malmo FF
DLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 100%
25% +1.5 50%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
100% BTTS 100%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Slavia Praha averages 1.25 goals scored at home, while Malmo FF averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
42%
Draw
23%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
63%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jan 2025 Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Malmo FF Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Slavia Praha won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Slavia Praha — unbeaten run (home)1
Slavia Praha — scoring streak (home)4
Malmo FF — winless run (away)3
Malmo FF — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Slavia Praha Win (1)42%
Draw (X)23%
Malmo FF Win (2)35%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 100%
25% +1.5 50%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 0%
75% -1.5 50%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Slavia Praha vs Malmo FF — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Slavia Praha — scored (home)1.25
Slavia Praha — conceded (home)1.75
Malmo FF — scored (away)1.5
Malmo FF — conceded (away)2.25
Model expected combined goals3.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes63%
No37%

Rate per Team

Slavia Praha — BTTS matches (home)100%
Malmo FF — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)100%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%
Under 4.512%
Over 5.575%
Under 5.525%
Over 6.563%
Under 6.537%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Slavia Praha (home)

Corners for7.3
Corners against2.5

Malmo FF (away)

Corners for2.8
Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Slavia Praha
11 6 10 10 12
Malmo FF
5 4 10 16 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.588%
Under 2.512%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Slavia Praha (home)

For3.3

Malmo FF (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Slavia Praha — total shots (home)19.8
Malmo FF — total shots (away)12.5

Shots on Target

Slavia Praha — on target (home)6.3
Malmo FF — on target (away)6.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Slavia Praha

Inside the box12.5
Outside the box5

Malmo FF

Inside the box8.75
Outside the box4.38

Player Shots Slavia Praha

S. Michez
Shots on Target/Game2.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
D. Zima
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target17%
I. Schranz
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
T. Chorý
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target29%
O. Lingr
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%

Player Shots Malmo FF

H. Bolin
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
E. Botheim
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target25%
I. Kiese Thelin
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Ali
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
L. Johnsen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Slavia Praha xG (home)1.31
Malmo FF xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

57% Possession 53%

Team Comparison Slavia Praha vs Malmo FF

78.75% Pass accuracy 80.5%
417.75 Passes per match 458.25
0.08 Goals prevented -0.31
15.25 Fouls committed 11.5
2.5 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
2.38 Offsides 1.71
15.25 Tackles per match 15.63

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Slavia Praha vs Malmo FF prediction analysis

Review Slavia Praha vs Malmo FF with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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