Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sligo Rovers vs Waterford

Sligo Rovers vs Waterford prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Premier Division 2026-08-22 18:45
Sligo Rovers
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
71%
Confidence
High
Score
1-2
Waterford
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
21%
2
53%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
69%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Sligo Rovers (Home)

Goals scored / match1.67
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%

Waterford (Away)

Goals scored / match2.33
Goals conceded / match1.33
Over 2.5 rate67%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sligo Rovers
DLLDL
Waterford
DDWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

100% +0.5 67%
67% +1.5 67%
0% +2.5 67%
0% +3.5 33%
0% +4.5 0%
100% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 71%. Model confidence is High.

Sligo Rovers averages 1.67 goals scored at home, while Waterford averages 2.33 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
21%
Away Win
53%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
69%

Head-to-Head last 5

Aug 2025 Sligo Rovers(A) 2 - 1 Waterford Home
Jun 2025 Sligo Rovers 1 - 0 Waterford Home
Apr 2025 Sligo Rovers(A) 4 - 0 Waterford Home
Feb 2025 Sligo Rovers 2 - 3 Waterford Away
Aug 2024 Sligo Rovers 2 - 0 Waterford Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sligo Rovers won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Sligo Rovers — unbeaten run (home)1
Sligo Rovers — scoring streak (home)3
Waterford — winless run (away)1
Waterford — clean sheets (away, last 3)1 of 3

1X2 Probability model

Sligo Rovers Win (1)27%
Draw (X)21%
Waterford Win (2)53%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

100% +0.5 67%
67% +1.5 67%
0% +2.5 67%
0% +3.5 33%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

0% -0.5 33%
33% -1.5 33%
100% -2.5 33%
100% -3.5 67%
100% -4.5 100%

Sligo Rovers vs Waterford — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sligo Rovers — scored (home)1.67
Sligo Rovers — conceded (home)2
Waterford — scored (away)2.33
Waterford — conceded (away)1.33
Model expected combined goals3.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes69%
No31%

Rate per Team

Sligo Rovers — BTTS matches (home)100%
Waterford — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)83.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.5100%
Under 7.50%
Over 8.5100%
Under 8.50%
Over 9.5100%
Under 9.50%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)11.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sligo Rovers (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against9.0

Waterford (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sligo Rovers
13
Waterford
10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.550%
Under 2.550%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Sligo Rovers (home)

For0.0

Waterford (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Sligo Rovers — total shots (home)11.0
Waterford — total shots (away)11.0

Shots on Target

Sligo Rovers — on target (home)2.0
Waterford — on target (away)2.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sligo Rovers

Inside the box6
Outside the box5

Waterford

Inside the box5
Outside the box6
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sligo Rovers xG (home)1.69
Waterford xG (away)0.59

Average Possession

58% Possession 47%

Team Comparison Sligo Rovers vs Waterford

76% Pass accuracy 56%
391 Passes per match 278
-0.37 Goals prevented 0.23
16 Fouls committed 14
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Offsides 1

League average xG this season is 1.12 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sligo Rovers vs Waterford prediction analysis

Review Sligo Rovers vs Waterford with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Premier Division.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Premier Division
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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