Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Slovan Bratislava vs AC Milan

Slovan Bratislava vs AC Milan prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2024-11-26 17:45
Slovan Bratislava
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
71%
Confidence
High
Score
1-1
AC Milan
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
22%
2
34%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
70%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Slovan Bratislava (Home)

Goals scored / match2.25
Goals conceded / match2.25
Over 2.5 rate38%
BTTS rate63%

AC Milan (Away)

Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1.4
Over 2.5 rate40%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Slovan Bratislava
LLLLL
AC Milan
DLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 60%
63% +1.5 40%
38% +2.5 40%
25% +3.5 0%
13% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 71%. Model confidence is High.

Slovan Bratislava averages 2.25 goals scored at home, while AC Milan averages 1.4 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
22%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
71%
BTTS Yes
70%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2024 Slovan Bratislava 2 - 3 AC Milan Away

In the last 1 meetings, Slovan Bratislava won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Slovan Bratislava — unbeaten run (home)0
Slovan Bratislava — scoring streak (home)3
AC Milan — winless run (away)2
AC Milan — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Slovan Bratislava Win (1)44%
Draw (X)22%
AC Milan Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 60%
63% +1.5 40%
38% +2.5 40%
25% +3.5 0%
13% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 40%
37% -1.5 60%
62% -2.5 60%
75% -3.5 100%
87% -4.5 100%

Slovan Bratislava vs AC Milan — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Slovan Bratislava — scored (home)2.25
Slovan Bratislava — conceded (home)2.25
AC Milan — scored (away)1.4
AC Milan — conceded (away)1.4
Model expected combined goals3.65

Both Teams To Score

Yes70%
No30%

Rate per Team

Slovan Bratislava — BTTS matches (home)63%
AC Milan — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)61.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.586%
Under 4.514%
Over 5.586%
Under 5.514%
Over 6.586%
Under 6.514%
Over 7.586%
Under 7.514%
Over 8.586%
Under 8.514%
Over 9.566%
Under 9.534%
Over 10.566%
Under 10.534%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Slovan Bratislava (home)

Corners for4.8
Corners against10.6

AC Milan (away)

Corners for5.4
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Slovan Bratislava
14 12 10 23 11
AC Milan
10 9 9 11 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.593%
Under 0.57%
Over 1.593%
Under 1.57%
Over 2.586%
Under 2.514%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Slovan Bratislava (home)

For2.3

AC Milan (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Slovan Bratislava — total shots (home)9.8
AC Milan — total shots (away)14.2

Shots on Target

Slovan Bratislava — on target (home)4.0
AC Milan — on target (away)6.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Slovan Bratislava

Inside the box5.5
Outside the box3.3

AC Milan

Inside the box8.9
Outside the box6

Player Shots Slovan Bratislava

M. Tolić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Strelec
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
T. Barseghyan
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target10%
N. Marcelli
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target0%
K. Wimmer
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots AC Milan

F. Camarda
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Rafael Leão
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
C. Pulišić
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target78%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. Abraham
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target11%
T. Reijnders
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target20%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Slovan Bratislava xG (home)0.78
AC Milan xG (away)1.37

Average Possession

39% Possession 53.1%

Team Comparison Slovan Bratislava vs AC Milan

76.6% Pass accuracy 87.5%
357.6 Passes per match 484.8
-0.22 Goals prevented -0.11
8.8 Fouls committed 10.6
4.8 Goalkeeper saves 4.1
1.5 Offsides 1.4
17.6 Tackles per match 14.9

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Slovan Bratislava vs AC Milan prediction analysis

Review Slovan Bratislava vs AC Milan with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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