Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sonderjyske vs Aarhus

Sonderjyske vs Aarhus prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Superliga 2025-07-20 14:00
Sonderjyske
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Aarhus
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
24%
2
43%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sonderjyske (Home)

Goals scored / match1.56
Goals conceded / match1.25
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate63%

Aarhus (Away)

Goals scored / match1.94
Goals conceded / match1.13
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sonderjyske
LWLWL
Aarhus
WWWDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 63%
19% +2.5 19%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%
63% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sonderjyske averages 1.56 goals scored at home, while Aarhus averages 1.94 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
24%
Away Win
43%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Sonderjyske(A) 1 - 2 Aarhus Away
Mar 2026 Sonderjyske 1 - 1 Aarhus Draw
Nov 2025 Sonderjyske(A) 3 - 2 Aarhus Home
Oct 2025 Sonderjyske(A) 1 - 2 Aarhus Away
Jul 2025 Sonderjyske 1 - 1 Aarhus Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Sonderjyske won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Sonderjyske — unbeaten run (home)0
Sonderjyske — scoring streak (home)3
Aarhus — winless run (away)0
Aarhus — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sonderjyske Win (1)32%
Draw (X)24%
Aarhus Win (2)43%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 100%
50% +1.5 63%
19% +2.5 19%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 0%
50% -1.5 37%
81% -2.5 81%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 94%

Sonderjyske vs Aarhus — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sonderjyske — scored (home)1.56
Sonderjyske — conceded (home)1.25
Aarhus — scored (away)1.94
Aarhus — conceded (away)1.13
Model expected combined goals2.94

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Sonderjyske — BTTS matches (home)63%
Aarhus — BTTS matches (away)88%
Combined (simple average)75.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.563%
Under 8.537%
Over 9.557%
Under 9.543%
Over 10.541%
Under 10.559%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sonderjyske (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.9

Aarhus (away)

Corners for4.5
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sonderjyske
11 10 14 8 7
Aarhus
10 9 14 9 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.572%
Under 2.528%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Sonderjyske (home)

For1.7

Aarhus (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Sonderjyske — total shots (home)12.9
Aarhus — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

Sonderjyske — on target (home)4.2
Aarhus — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sonderjyske

Inside the box8.19
Outside the box3.91

Aarhus

Inside the box10.13
Outside the box5.5

Player Shots Sonderjyske

L. Qamili
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Hoppe
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Agger
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. Ingason
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target7%
O. Hyseni
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Aarhus

T. Bech
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target31%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target19%
P. Mortensen
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target19%
Kevin Yakob
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target12%
G. Links
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sonderjyske xG (home)1.49
Aarhus xG (away)1.97

Average Possession

43.97% Possession 53.56%

Team Comparison Sonderjyske vs Aarhus

78.44% Pass accuracy 83.03%
392.31 Passes per match 478.44
0.01 Goals prevented -0.18
11.47 Fouls committed 10.97
2.91 Goalkeeper saves 3.13
1.65 Offsides 1.72
17.44 Tackles per match 16.09

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sonderjyske vs Aarhus prediction analysis

Review Sonderjyske vs Aarhus with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Superliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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