Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland

Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Superliga 2026-07-26 12:00
Sonderjyske
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
54%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
FC Midtjylland
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
25%
2
46%
O/U 2.5 · No edge
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Sonderjyske (Home)

Goals scored / match1.56
Goals conceded / match1.25
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate63%

FC Midtjylland (Away)

Goals scored / match1.81
Goals conceded / match0.75
Over 2.5 rate31%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sonderjyske
LWLWL
FC Midtjylland
LDDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 75%
50% +1.5 56%
19% +2.5 31%
0% +3.5 19%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Low.

Sonderjyske averages 1.56 goals scored at home, while FC Midtjylland averages 1.81 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
25%
Away Win
46%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Yes
54%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2026 Sonderjyske 1 - 2 FC Midtjylland Away
Apr 2026 Sonderjyske(A) 2 - 2 FC Midtjylland Draw
Nov 2025 Sonderjyske 2 - 1 FC Midtjylland Home
Jul 2025 Sonderjyske(A) 2 - 6 FC Midtjylland Away
Oct 2024 Sonderjyske 3 - 2 FC Midtjylland Home

In the last 5 meetings, Sonderjyske won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Sonderjyske — unbeaten run (home)0
Sonderjyske — scoring streak (home)3
FC Midtjylland — winless run (away)2
FC Midtjylland — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sonderjyske Win (1)29%
Draw (X)25%
FC Midtjylland Win (2)46%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 75%
50% +1.5 56%
19% +2.5 31%
0% +3.5 19%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 25%
50% -1.5 44%
81% -2.5 69%
100% -3.5 81%
100% -4.5 100%

Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sonderjyske — scored (home)1.56
Sonderjyske — conceded (home)1.25
FC Midtjylland — scored (away)1.81
FC Midtjylland — conceded (away)0.75
Model expected combined goals2.69

Both Teams To Score

Yes54%
No46%

Rate per Team

Sonderjyske — BTTS matches (home)63%
FC Midtjylland — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)56.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sonderjyske (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.9

FC Midtjylland (away)

Corners for4.8
Corners against5.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sonderjyske
11 10 14 8 7
FC Midtjylland
11 9 8 12 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.594%
Under 1.56%
Over 2.585%
Under 2.515%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Sonderjyske (home)

For1.7

FC Midtjylland (away)

For2.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.581%
Under 19.519%
Over 22.568%
Under 22.532%
Over 25.554%
Under 25.546%
Expected total shots27.01

Sonderjyske

Shots Over 9.579%
Shots Over 11.564%
Shots Over 13.548%
Expected shots13.65
On Target Over 3.568%
On Target Over 4.551%
On Target Over 5.535%
Expected on target4.79

FC Midtjylland

Shots Over 9.577%
Shots Over 11.562%
Shots Over 13.545%
Expected shots13.36
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.34

Shots per Game

Sonderjyske — total shots (home)12.9
FC Midtjylland — total shots (away)13.4

Shots on Target

Sonderjyske — on target (home)4.2
FC Midtjylland — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sonderjyske

Inside the box8.19
Outside the box3.91

FC Midtjylland

Inside the box9.59
Outside the box4.69

Player Shots Sonderjyske

L. Qamili
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Hoppe
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Agger
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. Ingason
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target7%
O. Hyseni
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots FC Midtjylland

Franculino Djú
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target38%
A. Buksa
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
D. Osorio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target25%
Júnior Brumado
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target10%
A. Şimşir
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sonderjyske xG (home)1.49
FC Midtjylland xG (away)1.6

Average Possession

43.97% Possession 53.84%

Team Comparison Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland

78.44% Pass accuracy 80.09%
392.31 Passes per match 427.5
0.01 Goals prevented 0.4
11.47 Fouls committed 12.91
2.91 Goalkeeper saves 3.13
1.65 Offsides 2.03
17.44 Tackles per match 17.03

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland prediction analysis

Review Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Superliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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