Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland

Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Superliga 2026-08-23 10:00
Sonderjyske
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Nordsjaelland
Away

Prediction Summary

1
45%
X
24%
2
31%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sonderjyske (Home)

Goals scored / match1.59
Goals conceded / match1.35
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%

FC Nordsjaelland (Away)

Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match1.81
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sonderjyske
LLWLW
FC Nordsjaelland
WDDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 69%
53% +1.5 44%
18% +2.5 19%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
65% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sonderjyske averages 1.59 goals scored at home, while FC Nordsjaelland averages 1.38 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
45%
Draw
24%
Away Win
31%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
61%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Sonderjyske 1 - 4 FC Nordsjaelland Away
Mar 2026 Sonderjyske(A) 0 - 2 FC Nordsjaelland Away
Feb 2026 Sonderjyske(A) 1 - 2 FC Nordsjaelland Away
Aug 2025 Sonderjyske 3 - 2 FC Nordsjaelland Home
Feb 2025 Sonderjyske(A) 2 - 3 FC Nordsjaelland Away

In the last 5 meetings, Sonderjyske won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Sonderjyske — unbeaten run (home)0
Sonderjyske — scoring streak (home)4
FC Nordsjaelland — winless run (away)0
FC Nordsjaelland — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sonderjyske Win (1)45%
Draw (X)24%
FC Nordsjaelland Win (2)31%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 69%
53% +1.5 44%
18% +2.5 19%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 31%
47% -1.5 56%
82% -2.5 81%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sonderjyske — scored (home)1.59
Sonderjyske — conceded (home)1.35
FC Nordsjaelland — scored (away)1.38
FC Nordsjaelland — conceded (away)1.81
Model expected combined goals3.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes61%
No39%

Rate per Team

Sonderjyske — BTTS matches (home)65%
FC Nordsjaelland — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)60.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.551%
Under 9.549%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sonderjyske (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.9

FC Nordsjaelland (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sonderjyske
10 14 8 7 9
FC Nordsjaelland
10 11 7 12 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Sonderjyske (home)

For1.7

FC Nordsjaelland (away)

For1.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.581%
Under 19.519%
Over 22.568%
Under 22.532%
Over 25.554%
Under 25.546%
Expected total shots26.99

Sonderjyske

Shots Over 9.582%
Shots Over 11.568%
Shots Over 13.552%
Expected shots14.19
On Target Over 3.572%
On Target Over 4.556%
On Target Over 5.540%
Expected on target5.10

FC Nordsjaelland

Shots Over 9.574%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.80
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.541%
On Target Over 5.526%
Expected on target4.23

Shots per Game

Sonderjyske — total shots (home)12.9
FC Nordsjaelland — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Sonderjyske — on target (home)4.2
FC Nordsjaelland — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sonderjyske

Inside the box8.19
Outside the box3.91

FC Nordsjaelland

Inside the box8.94
Outside the box4.53

Player Shots Sonderjyske

L. Qamili
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Hoppe
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Agger
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. Ingason
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target7%
O. Hyseni
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots FC Nordsjaelland

S. Egeli
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target83%
Ibrahim Adel
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target45%
O. Solbakken
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target29%
P. Amoako
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Lind
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sonderjyske xG (home)1.49
FC Nordsjaelland xG (away)1.61

Average Possession

43.97% Possession 57.22%

Team Comparison Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland

78.44% Pass accuracy 86.69%
392.31 Passes per match 593.28
0.01 Goals prevented 0.58
11.47 Fouls committed 11.06
2.91 Goalkeeper saves 3.22
1.65 Offsides 1.23
17.44 Tackles per match 15.22

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction analysis

Review Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Superliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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