Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland

Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Superliga 2025-08-03 12:00
Sonderjyske
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
58%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
FC Nordsjaelland
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
24%
2
30%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Sonderjyske (Home)

Goals scored / match1.56
Goals conceded / match1.25
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate63%

FC Nordsjaelland (Away)

Goals scored / match1.38
Goals conceded / match1.81
Over 2.5 rate19%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Sonderjyske
LWLWL
FC Nordsjaelland
WDDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

88% +0.5 69%
50% +1.5 44%
19% +2.5 19%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 58%. Model confidence is Medium.

Sonderjyske averages 1.56 goals scored at home, while FC Nordsjaelland averages 1.38 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
24%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
58%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Sonderjyske 1 - 4 FC Nordsjaelland Away
Mar 2026 Sonderjyske(A) 0 - 2 FC Nordsjaelland Away
Feb 2026 Sonderjyske(A) 1 - 2 FC Nordsjaelland Away
Aug 2025 Sonderjyske 3 - 2 FC Nordsjaelland Home
Feb 2025 Sonderjyske(A) 2 - 3 FC Nordsjaelland Away

In the last 5 meetings, Sonderjyske won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Sonderjyske — unbeaten run (home)0
Sonderjyske — scoring streak (home)3
FC Nordsjaelland — winless run (away)0
FC Nordsjaelland — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Sonderjyske Win (1)46%
Draw (X)24%
FC Nordsjaelland Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

88% +0.5 69%
50% +1.5 44%
19% +2.5 19%
0% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

12% -0.5 31%
50% -1.5 56%
81% -2.5 81%
100% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Sonderjyske — scored (home)1.56
Sonderjyske — conceded (home)1.25
FC Nordsjaelland — scored (away)1.38
FC Nordsjaelland — conceded (away)1.81
Model expected combined goals3

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Sonderjyske — BTTS matches (home)63%
FC Nordsjaelland — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)59.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.594%
Under 5.56%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.554%
Under 7.546%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Sonderjyske (home)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.9

FC Nordsjaelland (away)

Corners for3.6
Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Sonderjyske
11 10 14 8 7
FC Nordsjaelland
10 11 7 12 7

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.597%
Under 0.53%
Over 1.588%
Under 1.512%
Over 2.575%
Under 2.525%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Sonderjyske (home)

For1.7

FC Nordsjaelland (away)

For1.9

Shots per Game

Sonderjyske — total shots (home)12.9
FC Nordsjaelland — total shots (away)11.6

Shots on Target

Sonderjyske — on target (home)4.2
FC Nordsjaelland — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Sonderjyske

Inside the box8.19
Outside the box3.91

FC Nordsjaelland

Inside the box8.94
Outside the box4.53

Player Shots Sonderjyske

L. Qamili
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target12%
M. Hoppe
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Agger
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target14%
K. Ingason
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target7%
O. Hyseni
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots FC Nordsjaelland

S. Egeli
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target83%
Ibrahim Adel
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target45%
O. Solbakken
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target29%
P. Amoako
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target29%
A. Lind
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target61%
+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sonderjyske xG (home)1.49
FC Nordsjaelland xG (away)1.61

Average Possession

43.97% Possession 57.22%

Team Comparison Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland

78.44% Pass accuracy 86.69%
392.31 Passes per match 593.28
0.01 Goals prevented 0.58
11.47 Fouls committed 11.06
2.91 Goalkeeper saves 3.22
1.65 Offsides 1.23
17.44 Tackles per match 15.22

League average xG this season is 1.57 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction analysis

Review Sonderjyske vs FC Nordsjaelland with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superliga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Superliga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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