Prediction Analysis: South Melbourne vs Adelaide United
South Melbourne vs Adelaide United prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Australia Cup
2026-07-30
09:30
South Melbourne
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Adelaide United
Away
Prediction Summary
1
24%
X
23%
2
53%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
South Melbourne (Home)
Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match3
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%
Adelaide United (Away)
Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate100%
Team Form last 5 matches
South Melbourne
LW
Adelaide United
L
Goals Comparison rate per team
0%
+0.5
100%
0%
+1.5
0%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
0%
BTTS
100%
Model Insight
The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is Medium.
South Melbourne averages 0 goals scored at home, while Adelaide United averages 1 goals scored away.
Model Strength
57%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
24%
Draw
23%
Away Win
53%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
Head-to-Head last 0
No head-to-head historyThese two teams have no finished match on record against each other.
Current Streaks
South Melbourne — unbeaten run (home)0
South Melbourne — scoring streak (home)0
Adelaide United — winless run (away)1
Adelaide United — clean sheets (away, last 1)0 of 1
1X2 Probability model
South Melbourne Win (1)24%
Draw (X)23%
Adelaide United Win (2)53%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
0%
+0.5
100%
0%
+1.5
0%
0%
+2.5
0%
0%
+3.5
0%
0%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
100%
-0.5
0%
100%
-1.5
100%
100%
-2.5
100%
100%
-3.5
100%
100%
-4.5
100%
South Melbourne vs Adelaide United — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
South Melbourne — scored (home)0
South Melbourne — conceded (home)3
Adelaide United — scored (away)1
Adelaide United — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.95
Both Teams To Score
Yes57%
No43%
Rate per Team
South Melbourne — BTTS matches (home)0%
Adelaide United — BTTS matches (away)100%
Combined (simple average)50%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
South Melbourne (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Adelaide United (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
South Melbourne (home)
For—
Adelaide United (away)
For—
Shots per Game
South Melbourne — total shots (home)—
Adelaide United — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
South Melbourne — on target (home)—
Adelaide United — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
South Melbourne
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Adelaide United
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison South Melbourne vs Adelaide United
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
South Melbourne vs Adelaide United prediction analysis
Review South Melbourne vs Adelaide United with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Australia Cup.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Australia Cup
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights