What markets are included in the Southampton vs Birmingham prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Southampton vs Birmingham prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Southampton vs Birmingham

Southampton vs Birmingham prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Championship 2025-12-06 15:00

Southampton

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

34%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-0

Birmingham

Away

Prediction Summary

49%

29%

22%

Under 2.5

66%

BTTS No

61%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Southampton (Home)

Goals scored / match1.67

Goals conceded / match0.83

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate54%

Birmingham (Away)

Goals scored / match0.78

Goals conceded / match1.48

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate48%

Team Form last 5 matches

Southampton

WDWDD

Birmingham

DWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 61%

50% +1.5 17%

25% +2.5 0%

4% +3.5 0%

4% +4.5 0%

54% BTTS 48%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

Southampton averages 1.67 goals scored at home, while Birmingham averages 0.78 goals scored away.

Model Strength

66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

49%

Draw

29%

Away Win

22%

Over 2.5

34%

BTTS Yes

39%

Head-to-Head last 4

Dec 2025 Southampton(A) 1 - 1 Birmingham Draw

Dec 2025 Southampton 3 - 1 Birmingham Home

Mar 2024 Southampton(A) 4 - 3 Birmingham Home

Oct 2023 Southampton 3 - 1 Birmingham Home

In the last 4 meetings, Southampton won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Southampton — unbeaten run (home)11

Southampton — scoring streak (home)12

Birmingham — winless run (away)6

Birmingham — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Southampton Win (1)49%

Draw (X)29%

Birmingham Win (2)22%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 61%

50% +1.5 17%

25% +2.5 0%

4% +3.5 0%

4% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 39%

50% -1.5 83%

75% -2.5 100%

96% -3.5 100%

96% -4.5 100%

Southampton vs Birmingham — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Southampton — scored (home)1.67

Southampton — conceded (home)0.83

Birmingham — scored (away)0.78

Birmingham — conceded (away)1.48

Model expected combined goals2.06

Both Teams To Score

Yes39%

No61%

Rate per Team

Southampton — BTTS matches (home)54%

Birmingham — BTTS matches (away)48%

Combined (simple average)51%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.594%

Under 6.56%

Over 7.592%

Under 7.58%

Over 8.568%

Under 8.532%

Over 9.559%

Under 9.541%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Southampton (home)

Corners for6.5

Corners against4.5

Birmingham (away)

Corners for5.0

Corners against4.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Southampton

10 14 15 12 16

Birmingham

9 8 6 11 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.573%

Under 2.527%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Southampton (home)

For1.6

Birmingham (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Southampton — total shots (home)15.8

Birmingham — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Southampton — on target (home)5.4

Birmingham — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Southampton

Inside the box9.77

Outside the box4.67

Birmingham

Inside the box8.76

Outside the box4.85

Player Shots Southampton

A. Armstrong

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target66%

+1.5 On Target48%

Léo Scienza

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target26%

C. Larin

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target17%

F. Azaz

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target49%

+1.5 On Target16%

R. Stewart

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Birmingham

M. Ducksch

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target21%

J. Stansfield

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target18%

I. Osman

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target24%

Carlos Vicente

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target12%

D. Gray

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Southampton xG (home)1.67

Birmingham xG (away)1.36

Average Possession

56.31% Possession 53.74%

Team Comparison Southampton vs Birmingham

83.17% Pass accuracy 77.15%

479.94 Passes per match 423.72

-0.06 Goals prevented -0.06

11.02 Fouls committed 11.67

2.52 Goalkeeper saves 2.4

1.87 Offsides 1.8

15 Tackles per match 14.17

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Southampton vs Birmingham prediction analysis

Review Southampton vs Birmingham with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Championship.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Championship

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights